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@Article{CorreaMelChoCurNor:2016:SoErRi,
               author = "Correa, Sly W. and Mello, Carlos R. and Chou, Sin Chan and Curi, 
                         Nilton and Norton, Lloyd D.",
          affiliation = "{Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)} and 
                         {Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras 
                         (UFLA)} and {Purdue University}",
                title = "Soil erosion risk associated with climate change at Mantaro River 
                         basin, Peruvian Andes",
              journal = "Catena",
                 year = "2016",
               volume = "147",
                pages = "110--124",
                month = "Dec.",
             keywords = "Soil erosion and degradation, Global warming, Tropical Andes, Soil 
                         erosion risk, GIS.",
             abstract = "Soil degradation by water erosion has been accelerated by human 
                         activities. This process is aggravated in the Andes region due to 
                         steep slopes, sparse vegetation cover, and sporadic but high 
                         intensity rainfall, which together with a shallow soil depth, 
                         increases soil erosion risk. The objective of this study was to 
                         analyze the soil erosion risk, associated with A1B climate change 
                         scenario over the twenty-first century, for the Mantaro River 
                         basin (MRB), Peruvian Andes. The temporal analyses revealed 
                         maintenance of current soil erosion risk along the twenty-first 
                         century in almost all the MRB, whose current risk is either 
                         {"}very severe{"} or {"}extremely severe{"}. At the sub basin 
                         level, for those located in the center and northern MRB, 
                         progressive increases were observed in the average erosion rate by 
                         the end of this century, increasing the soil erosion risk. In 
                         sub-basins under greater influence of the Andes, this risk was 
                         classified as {"}moderate{"} and remained this way throughout the 
                         century, despite the increase in rainfall erosive potential 
                         simulated for these. In annual terms, there was a significant 
                         trend of decreasing rainfall erosivity and increasing the 
                         concentration of rainfall simulated based on A1B climate change 
                         scenario. Because the A1B scenario affects rainfall erosivity 
                         mainly during the rainy season, this causes a risk to the 
                         environmental sustainability and future agricultural activities.",
                  doi = "10.1016/j.catena.2016.07.003",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2016.07.003",
                 issn = "0341-8162",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "correa_soil.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 nov. 2020"
}


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