author = "Santos, Vanessa dos and Laurent, Fran{\c{c}}ois and Abe, Camila 
                         and Messner, Fran{\c{c}}ois",
          affiliation = "{Le Mans Universit{\'e}} and {Le Mans Universit{\'e}} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Le Mans 
                title = "Hydrologic response to land use change in a large basin in eastern 
              journal = "Water (Switzerland)",
                 year = "2018",
               volume = "10",
               number = "4",
                pages = "e429",
                month = "Apr.",
             keywords = "Amazon, land use change, streamflow, water balance components, 
                         SWAT model.",
             abstract = "Accelerated land use changes in the Brazilian Amazonian region 
                         over the last four decades have raised questions about potential 
                         consequences for local hydrology. Under the hypothesis of a lack 
                         of frontier governance, projections of future changes in the 
                         Amazon basin suggest that 2030% or more of this basin could be 
                         deforested in the next 40 years. This could trigger a cascade of 
                         negative impacts on water resources. In this study, we examined 
                         how a future conversion of the forest into pasture would influence 
                         streamflow and water balance components by using a conceptual and 
                         semi-distributed hydrological model in a large (142,000 km2 ) 
                         forested basin: specifically, the Iriri River basin in the 
                         Brazilian Amazon. The results showed that the land use change 
                         could substantially alter the water balance components of the 
                         originally forested basin. For example, an increase of over 57% in 
                         pasture areas increased a simulated annual streamflow by ~6.5% and 
                         had a significant impact on evapotranspiration, surface runoff, 
                         and percolation. Our findings emphasize the importance of 
                         protected areas for conservation strategies in the Brazilian 
                         Amazonian region.",
                  doi = "10.3390/w10040429",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w10040429",
                 issn = "2073-4441",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "santos_hydrologic.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "01 dez. 2020"