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@Article{AlvarengaMeCoChCuVi:2018:ImClCh,
               author = "Alvarenga, L{\'{\i}}via Alves and Mello, Carlos Rog{\'e}rio de 
                         and Colombo, Alberto and Chou, Sin Chan and Cuartas, Luz Adriana 
                         and Viola, Marcelo Ribeiro",
          affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Universidade Federal 
                         de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Centro 
                         Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)}",
                title = "Impacts of climate change on the hydrology of a small brazilian 
                         headwater catchment using the distributed 
                         hydrology-soil-vegetation model",
              journal = "American Journal of Climate Change",
                 year = "2018",
               volume = "7",
                pages = "355--366",
             keywords = "Climate Changes, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 Scenarios, Hydrological Model, 
                         Discharge.",
             abstract = "Climate change is one of the greatest issues for human society. 
                         The objective of this study is to assess the impacts of future 
                         climate change on seasonal average discharge and monthly water 
                         budget in a small headwater catchment, located on the Grande River 
                         basin, in Minas Gerais, Brazil. The assessment is carried out 
                         using the hydrology model, DHSVM. The atmospheric forcing to drive 
                         the Distributed Hydrology-Soil-Vegetation Model (DHSVM) is derived 
                         from the downscaling of the HadGEM2-ES projections by the Eta 
                         Regional Climate Model, at 5-km high resolution. The projections 
                         assume the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 IPCC AR5 emission scenarios. Baseline 
                         period was taken between 1961 and 1990. The projections are 
                         assessed in three time slices (2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 
                         2071-2099). The climate change is assessed in time slices of 30 
                         years and in comparison against the baseline period to evaluate 
                         the hydrological changes in the catchment. The results showed 
                         differences in the hydrological behavior between the emission 
                         scenarios and though time slices. Reductions in the magnitude of 
                         the seasonal average discharge and monthly water budget may alter 
                         the water availability. Under the RCP4.5 scenario, results show 
                         greater reductions in the water availability in the first time 
                         slice, whereas under RCP8.5 scenario greater reductions are 
                         indicated in the third time slice.",
                  doi = "10.4236/ajcc.2018.72021",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2018.72021",
                 issn = "2167-9495 and 2167-9509",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "alvarenga_impacts.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "05 dez. 2020"
}


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