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@MastersThesis{Lima:2019:CoDeAc,
               author = "Lima, Luciana Shigihara",
                title = "Conectividade demogr{\'a}fica e aclimata{\c{c}}{\~a}o de peixes 
                         recifais do g{\^e}nero Sparisoma em cen{\'a}rio de 
                         mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas",
               school = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
                 year = "2019",
              address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
                month = "2019-04-26",
             keywords = "Unidades de conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o marinhas, modelo baseado no 
                         indiv{\'{\i}}duo, Atl{\^a}ntico Tropical Sul, 
                         regionaliza{\c{c}}{\~a}o oce{\^a}nica, modelagem 
                         biof{\'{\i}}sica, marine protected areas, individual based 
                         model, Tropical South Atlantic, oceanic downscaling, biophysical 
                         modeling.",
             abstract = "As mudan{\c{c}}as na circula{\c{c}}{\~a}o e na temperatura do 
                         oceano afetam diretamente a capacidade de dispers{\~a}o e 
                         assentamento dos organismos marinhos. Esta influ{\^e}ncia se 
                         d{\'a} principalmente nas condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es de 
                         sobreviv{\^e}ncia dos ovos e larvas, assim como na 
                         trajet{\'o}ria imposta pela circula{\c{c}}{\~a}o superficial. 
                         As proje{\c{c}}{\~o}es de cen{\'a}rios futuros de 
                         mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas podem resultar em 
                         altera{\c{c}}{\~o}es na circula{\c{c}}{\~a}o e temperatura dos 
                         oceanos, afetando o ciclo de vida dos organismos marinhos. Assim, 
                         foram utilizadas solu{\c{c}}{\~o}es do modelo do sistema 
                         terrestre Hadley Global Environment Model 2 - Earth System 
                         (HadGEM2-ES) para a modelagem biof{\'{\i}}sica, com o objetivo 
                         de simular as poss{\'{\i}}veis mudan{\c{c}}as nos padr{\~o}es 
                         de conectividade entre nove Unidades de Conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         Marinhas brasileiras, situadas sobre quatro ilhas oce{\^a}nicas 
                         (Arquip{\'e}lago de S{\~a}o Pedro e S{\~a}o Paulo, 
                         Arquip{\'e}lago de Fernando de Noronha, Arquip{\'e}lago de 
                         Martim Vaz e Trindade e Atol das Rocas) e cinco sobre a Plataforma 
                         Continental Brasileira (Parcel Manuel Lu{\'{\i}}z, Recife de 
                         Corais, Costa de Corais, Abrolhos e Cabo Frio), em um cen{\'a}rio 
                         em que nenhuma a{\c{c}}{\~a}o de mitiga{\c{c}}{\~a}o seja 
                         realizada. Foi realizada a regionaliza{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         oce{\^a}nica do modelo global HadGEM2-ES, ensemble r2i1p1, 
                         cen{\'a}rio Hist{\'o}rico e RCP8.5, atrav{\'e}s do Regional 
                         Oceanic Model System (ROMS) para o Oceano Atl{\^a}ntico, cujo 
                         dom{\'{\i}}nio inclui as Unidades de Conseva{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         Marinhas (UCMs) nas ilhas oce{\^a}nicas brasileiras e na 
                         plataforma continental do Brasil. Os resultados do RCP 8.5 foram 
                         utilizados para advectar as part{\'{\i}}culas no modelo 
                         biol{\'o}gico de dispers{\~a}o lagrangeana Ichthyop. O 
                         organismo-alvo foi o peixe recifal do g{\^e}nero Sparisoma 
                         (Labridae: Scarinae) presente nessas {\'a}reas. A hip{\'o}tese 
                         de que a aclimata{\c{c}}{\~a}o dos peixes recifais poderia 
                         mitigar os impactos de um cen{\'a}rio mais quente do oceano foi 
                         testada. Observou-se que o cen{\'a}rio futuro de mudan{\c{c}}as 
                         clim{\'a}ticas ir{\'a} aumentar a mortalidade e reduzir a 
                         conectividade entre as Unidades de Conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         Marinhas mais ao norte. A aclimata{\c{c}}{\~a}o reduzir{\'a} 
                         significativamente a mortalidade e aumentar{\'a} a conectividade 
                         entre as UCMs, principalmente nos cen{\'a}rios de ver{\~a}o. 
                         ABSTRACT: Changes in ocean circulation and temperature directly 
                         affect the dispersal and settlement capacity of marine organisms. 
                         This influence occurs mainly in the survival conditions of eggs 
                         and larvae, as well as in the trajectory imposed by the 
                         superficial circulation. Projections of future scenarios of 
                         climate change may result in changes in ocean circulation and 
                         temperature, affecting the life cycle of marine organisms. Thus, 
                         solutions of the Hadley Global Environment Model 2 - Earth System 
                         (HadGEM2-ES) model for biophysical modeling were used to simulate 
                         the possible changes in the connectivity patterns between nine 
                         Brazilian Marine Protected Areas, located on four islands 
                         (S{\~a}o Pedro and S{\~a}o Paulo Archipelago, Fernando de 
                         Noronha Archipelago, Martim Vaz and Trindade Archipelago and Rocas 
                         Atol) and five on the Brazilian Continental Shelf (Parcel Manuel 
                         Lu{\'{\i}}z, Recife de Corais, Costa de Corais, Abrolhos and 
                         Cabo Frio), in a scenario in which no mitigation action is 
                         fulfilled. The oceanic regionalization of the global model 
                         HadGEM2-ES, ensemble r2i1p1, Historical scenario and RCP8.5, was 
                         performed through the Regional Oceanic Model System (ROMS) for the 
                         Atlantic Ocean, whose domain includes the Marine Protected Areas 
                         (AMPs) in the oceanic islands Brazil and on the continental shelf 
                         of Brazil. The results of RCP 8.5 were used to advect the 
                         particles in the biological model of Lagrangian Ichthyop 
                         dispersion. The target organism was the reef fish of the genus 
                         Sparisoma (Labridae: Scarinae) present in these areas. The 
                         hypothesis that acclimation of reef fish could mitigate the 
                         impacts of a warmer ocean scenario has been tested. It was noted 
                         that the future scenario of climate change will increase mortality 
                         and reduce connectivity between Marine Protected Areas further 
                         north. Acclimation will significantly reduce mortality and 
                         increase connectivity among AMPs, especially in summer 
                         scenarios.",
            committee = "Lorenzzetti, Jo{\~a}o Antonio (presidente) and Gherardi, Douglas 
                         Francisco Marcolino (orientador) and Pezzi, Luciano Ponzi and 
                         Quimbayo, Juan Pablo",
         englishtitle = "Demographic connectivity and acclimation of reef fishes from the 
                         gender Sparisoma sp. in climate change scenarios",
             language = "pt",
                pages = "131",
                  ibi = "8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3T449EP",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/rep/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3T449EP",
           targetfile = "publicacao.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "04 dez. 2020"
}


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