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@Article{VillelaNetoCosBraBueLeo:2019:StOv,
               author = "Villela Neto, Thyrso and Costa, C{\'e}sar Augusto and 
                         Brand{\~a}o, Alessandra M. and Bueno, Fernando T. and Leonardi, 
                         Rodrigo",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Centro de Gest{\~a}o 
                         e Estudos Estrat{\'e}gicos (CGEE)} and {Centro de Gest{\~a}o e 
                         Estudos Estrat{\'e}gicos (CGEE)} and {Ag{\^e}ncia Espacial 
                         Brasileira (AEB)}",
                title = "Towards the thousandth CubeSat: a statistical overview",
              journal = "International Journal of Aerospace Engineering",
                 year = "2019",
               volume = "2019",
                pages = "e5063145",
             abstract = "CubeSats have become an interesting innovation in the space 
                         sector. Such platforms are being used for several space 
                         applications, such as education, Earth remote sensing, science, 
                         and defense. As of May 31st, 2018, 855 CubeSats had been launched. 
                         Remote sensing application is the main sector in which CubeSats 
                         are being used, corresponding to about 45% of all applications. 
                         This fact indicates the commercial potential of such a platform. 
                         Fifty eight countries have already been involved with developing 
                         CubeSats. The most used CubeSat configuration is 3U (about 64%), 
                         followed by 1U (18%), while 6U platforms account for about 4%. In 
                         this paper, we present an analysis of the current situation 
                         regarding CubeSats worldwide, through the use of a dataset built 
                         to encompass information about these satellites. The overall 
                         success rate of the CubeSat missions is increasing over time. 
                         Moreover, considering CubeSat missions as a Bernoulli experiment, 
                         and excluding launch failures, the current success rate was 
                         estimated, as a parameter of a binomial distribution, to be about 
                         75%. By using a logistic model and considering that the launchings 
                         keep following the current tendency, one can expect that one 
                         thousand CubeSats will be launched in 2021, within 95% 
                         certainty.",
                  doi = "10.1155/2019/5063145",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/5063145",
                 issn = "1687-5966",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "5063145.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "25 nov. 2020"
}


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