author = "Rao, Vadlamudi Brahmananda and Franchito, Sergio Henrique and 
                         Esp{\'{\i}}rito Santo, Clovis Monteiro do and Ramakrishna, S. S. 
                         V. S. and Reyes Fernandez, Julio Pablo",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Andhra University} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "How accurately contemporary models can predict monsoons?",
              journal = "American Journal of Climate Change",
                 year = "2018",
               volume = "7",
               number = "1",
                pages = "97--113",
             keywords = "Climate Change, Monsoons, Seasonal Change, Tropical South America 
                         and India Rainfall, Coupled General Circulation Models, 
                         Projections of Future Climate, IPCC Models.",
             abstract = "Seasonal changes exhibit climate changes, so models can predict 
                         future climate change accurately only if they can reproduce 
                         seasonal cycle accurately. Further, seasonal changes are much 
                         larger than the changes even in long period of centuries. Thus it 
                         is unwise to ignore large ones compared to small climate change. 
                         In this paper, we determine how accurately a suite of ten coupled 
                         general circulation models reproduce the observed seasonal cycle 
                         in rainfall of the tropics. The seasonal cycles in rainfall of 
                         global tropics are known as monsoons. We found that the models can 
                         reasonably reproduce the seasonal cycle in rainfall, thus are 
                         useful in climate prediction and simulation of global monsoons.",
                  doi = "10.4236/ajcc.2018.71008",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2018.71008",
                 issn = "2167-9495 and 2167-9509",
                label = "lattes: 0873439630646612 5 RaoFraSanRamFer:2018:HoAcCo",
             language = "pt",
           targetfile = "rao_how.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "15 abr. 2021"