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7 referências encontradas buscando em 15 dentre 15 sites.
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3N4EN7L
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/12.28.17.54   (acesso restrito)
Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/12.28.17.54.09
Sitemtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br
ISSN1245-4680
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoFerreiraCamaFrasCarv:2016:CPDeOc
Autor1 Ferreira, Sérgio Henrique Soares
2 Camaio Maita, Rosio Del Pilar
3 Frassoni, Ariane
4 Carvalho, Jonas Takeo
Identificador de Curriculo1 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ84
Grupo1 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
3 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
4 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 sergio.ferreira@inpe.br
2 rosio.maita@inpe.br
3 ariane.frassoni@inpe.br
4 jtcarvalho@gmail.com
TítuloCPTEC/INPE develops ocean and air quality forecast systems for the RIO 2016 Games
RevistaWMO WWRP Newsletter
Ano2016
Volume1
MêsOct
Idiomaen
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
AreaMET
Tamanho5475 KiB
Número de Arquivos2
Arquivo Alvowwrp.pdf
Última Atualização2016:12.30.10.59.57 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 simone
Última Atualização dos Metadados2018:06.04.02.41.44 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 administrator {D 2016}
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Campos Vaziosabstract alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi e-mailaddress format isbn keywords label lineage mark nextedition nexthigherunit notes number orcid pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W/3LS9JEE
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/06.13.17.53   (acesso restrito)
Metadadossid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/06.13.17.53.30
Siteplutao.sid.inpe.br
DOI10.4172/2167-0587.1000162
Rótulolattes: 3214369697732376 2 ShGan:2016:CaSt
ISSN2167-0587
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoFranchitoGanRaoSanPin:2016:CaSt
Autor1 Franchito, Sérgio Henrique
2 Gan, Manoel Alonso
3 Rao, V. B.
4 Santos, C. M. E.
5 Pinto Júnior, Osmar
Identificador de Curriculo1 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ82
2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHNM
3
4
5 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ2E
Grupo1 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
2 DOP-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
3
4
5 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
3
4
5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 sergio.franchito@cptec.inpe.br
2 manoel.gan@cptec.inpe.br
3
4
5 osmar@dge.inpe.br
TítuloImpacts of rainstorms during austral winter in São Paulo state, Brazil: a case study
RevistaJournal of Geography & Natural Disasters
Ano2016
Volume6
Número1
Palavras-ChaveSão Paulo, Precipitação, Tempo Severo.
ResumoSeptember 2015 was an atypical austral winter rainy month. Rainstorms were observed in Sao Paulo State, Brazil (53o W-44o W; 20o S-25o S) with catastrophic consequences. In this paper the atmospheric conditions responsible for the rainstorms that occurred on 8th September 2015 in Sao Paulo State and their social and economic consequences were analyzed. The results showed that the rainstorms affected practically the entire Sao Paulo State causing floods and threw down trees, interrupting of the traffic on the streets and affecting the system of electric energy. Rainstorms accompanied by high winds and strong divergence at 200 hPa and ascending motion were observed due to intense squall line moving over Sao Paulo State. Satellite and radar images showed strong convective activity and the heavier rainfall (around 90 mm) in the center-east sector at 20:45 UTC. Hourly data from meteorological stations showed that the wind gust and the precipitation were higher than 65 km h-1 and 10 mm, respectively in almost the entire State. In Sao Paulo city, the rainfall was the highest for September in the last 20 years. The amount of precipitation was 3% higher than the amount expected for the entire September. Since each region of inundation in Sao Paulo city causes a daily damage higher than US$ 263,000,00 a great economic harm must be expected. A co-operative project between National Institute for Space Research (INPE) institution and Energisa Power Company is in progress aimed to mitigate the effects of adverse weather conditions as in the case of the rainstorm that occurred in 8th September 2015.
Páginas1-11
NotasSetores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento científico.
Idiomaen
URL (dados não confiáveis)http://www.omicsgroup.org/journals/impacts-of-rainstorms-during-austral-winter-in-sao-paulo-state-brazil-a-case-study-2167-0587-1000162.pdf
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
AreaMET
Tamanho4350 KiB
Número de Arquivos1
Arquivo Alvofranchito_impacts.pdf
Última Atualização2016:06.17.13.16.42 dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 simone
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Permissão de Leituradeny from all and allow from 150.163
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Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
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Histórico2016-06-14 13:52:06 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2016
2016-06-17 13:08:26 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016
2016-06-17 13:16:42 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016
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Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination e-mailaddress format isbn lineage mark month nextedition orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype
Data de Acesso19 out. 2020
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W/3LSA6NM
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/06.13.20.58.58
Metadadossid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/06.13.20.58.59
Siteplutao.sid.inpe.br
DOI10.5194/gmd-2016-130
Rótulolattes: 9897358688381968 12 FreitasPLRMRSSSFLFFSPEFMSCPCFCMFAGZFLSBTOM:2016:InEnMo
ISSN1991-962X
1991-9611
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoFreitasPFRMRSSSFLMFSPEFMSCPCFCMFAGZFLSBTOM:2016:InEnMo
Autor 1 Freitas, Saulo Ribeiro de
 2 Panetta, Jairo
 3 Freitas, Karla Maria Longo de
 4 Rodrigues, Luiz F.
 5 Moreira, Demerval S.
 6 Rosário, Nilton E.
 7 Silva Dias, Pedro L.
 8 Silva Dias, Maria A. F.
 9 Souza, Enio P.
10 Freitas, Edmilson D.
11 Longo, Marcos
12 Mattos, Ariane Frassoni dos Santos de
13 Fazenda, Alvaro L.
14 Santos e Silva, Cláudio M.
15 Pavani, Claudio Augusto Borges
16 Eiras, Denis Magalhães de Almeida
17 França, Daniela A.
18 Massaru, Daniel
19 Silva, Fernanda B.
20 Cavalcante, Fernando
21 Pereira, Gabriel
22 Camponogara, Gláuber
23 Ferrada, Gonzalo A.
24 Campos Velho, Haroldo F.
25 Menezes, Isilda
26 Freire, Julliana Larise Mendonça
27 Alonso, Marcelo F.
28 Gácita, Madeleine S.
29 Zarzur, Maurício
30 Fonseca, Rafael M.
31 Lima, Rafael S.
32 Siqueira, Ricardo A.
33 Braz, Rodrigo
34 Tomita, Simone
35 Oliveira, Valter José Ferreira de
36 Martins, Leila D.
Identificador de Curriculo 1 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ7M
Grupo 1 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 2
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 5
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 9
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12 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
13
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23
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26 MET-MET-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 2
 3
 4
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9
10
11
12 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
13
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26 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
TítuloThe Brazilian developments on the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (BRAMS 5.2): an integrated environmental model tuned for tropical areas
RevistaGeoscientific Model Development Discussions
Ano2016
Volume1
Páginas1-55
Idiomaen
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
DivulgaçãoPORTALCAPES
AreaMET
Nota SecundáriaB4_INTERDISCIPLINAR B4_GEOCIÊNCIAS B4_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS
Tamanho7878 KiB
Número de Arquivos3
Última Atualização2018:04.10.18.44.23 dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 simone
Última Atualização dos Metadados2018:06.04.23.26.06 dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 administrator {D 2016}
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Estágio do Documentonot transferred
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Política de Arquivamentoallowpublisher allowfinaldraft
Permissão de Leituraallow from all
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3F35TRS
Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
Conteúdo da Pasta agreementnão têm arquivos
Histórico2016-06-13 20:58:59 :: lattes -> administrator ::
2016-06-16 18:28:00 :: administrator -> lattes :: 2016
2016-12-06 01:27:42 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2016
2016-12-16 11:54:15 :: administrator -> lattes :: 2016
2016-12-23 14:54:16 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2016
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Campos Vaziosabstract alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress electronicmailaddress format isbn keywords lineage mark month nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject targetfile tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url usergroup
Data de Acesso19 out. 2020
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3LRA9QP
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/06.07.17.59   (acesso restrito)
Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/06.07.17.59.07
Sitemtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br
DOI10.4236/acs.2016.61001
ISSN2160-0414
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoMourãoChouMare:2016:DoClPr
Autor1 Mourão, Caroline
2 Chou, Sin Chan
3 Marengo, José
Grupo1
2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
3 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas aos Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 caroline.mourao@cemaden.gov.br
2 chou.sinchan@cptec.inpe.br
TítuloDownscaling climate projections over La Plata basin
RevistaAtmospheric and Climate Sciences
Ano2016
Volume6
Palavras-ChaveRegional Climate Model, Climate Downscaling, Climate Change Assessment, La Plata Basin.
ResumoRegional Climate Models are important tools, which are increasingly being used in studies of impacts and adaptation to climate change at local scale. The goal of this work is to assess the climate change over the La Plata Basin, using the Eta Regional model with a resolution of 10 km. Initial and boundary conditions used by the model are provided by the Eta-20 km model and the HadGEM2- ES Global model. The RCP 4.5 scenario was used for simulations of the future climate. The evaluation of the present climate (1961-1990) shows that the model represents well the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation and temperature in the region. The model underestimates precipitation over large areas in summer, and overestimates in Southern Brazil in winter. Simulated temperature shows a good correlation with CRU data, with bias less than 1˚C. The bias of temperature and precipitation in this simulation setup for the La Plata Basin is substantially reduced in comparison with previous literature using regional models. The climatic projections are shown in timeslices: 2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2099. In the three timeslices, the simulation project has a trend for an increase in precipitation during summer in Argentina, Uruguay, and southernmost Brazil. This increase is only projected in Southern Brazil during winter. The negative anomaly of precipitation appears in a large portion of the model domain during summer and is limited to some states in Southeast and Central-West Brazil in winter. The area with largest warming is projected in the northern portion of the domain. The projected increase in temperature reaches about 4˚C in 2071-2099.
Páginas1-12
Idiomaen
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
DivulgaçãoPORTALCAPES
AreaMET
Nota SecundáriaB1_INTERDISCIPLINAR B4_GEOCIÊNCIAS B5_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I B5_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS C_BIOTECNOLOGIA
Tamanho3100 KiB
Número de Arquivos1
Arquivo Alvomourao-downscaling.pdf
Última Atualização2016:06.07.18.00.06 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 simone
Última Atualização dos Metadados2018:06.04.02.40.53 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 administrator {D 2016}
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Tipo do ConteudoExternal Contribution
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Tipo de Versãopublisher
Permissão de Leituradeny from all and allow from 150.163
Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement
agreement.html 07/06/2016 14:59 1.0 KiB 
Histórico2016-06-07 18:00:06 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016
2018-06-04 02:40:53 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark month nextedition nexthigherunit notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
Data de Acesso19 out. 2020
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W/3MTN2TL
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/12.05.19.15
Metadadossid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/12.05.19.15.03
Siteplutao.sid.inpe.br
DOI10.4236/ajcc.2016.54038
Rótulolattes: 5465249419038855 2 RaoFrGeGiRaRaNa:2016:HiWaCl
ISSN2167-9495
2167-9509
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoRaoFrGeGiRaRaNa:2016:HiWaCl
Autor1 Rao, Vadlamudi Brahmananda
2 Franchito, Sérgio Henrique
3 Gerólamo, Renato Orrú Pedroso
4 Giarolla, Emanuel
5 Ramakrishna, S. S. V. S.
6 Rao, Bodda Ravi Srinivasa
7 Naidu, Chennu Vankateswara
Identificador de Curriculo1 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJAJ
2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ82
3
4 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JH2A
Grupo1 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
3 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
4 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
5 Andhra University
6 Andhra University
7 Andhra University
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 vbrao@met.inpe.br
2 sergio.franchito@cptec.inpe.br
3
4 emanuel.giarolla@inpe.br
TítuloHimalayan warming and climate change in India
RevistaAmerican Journal of Climate Change
Ano2016
Volume5
Número4
Palavras-ChaveHimalayan Glaciers, Global Warming, Floods in India, Malaria in India, IPCC AR4 Model, Köppen Climates.
ResumoRecent studies showed that the Himalayan glaciers are reducing alarmingly. This is attributed to global warming. Since the melt water of Himalayan glaciers and snow is the principal source of water for several rivers, a decrease of this source is a calamity for the large fraction of global population living in nearby regions such as India. In Asia for the 60% global population only 36% of global water is available. Any further decrease of this vital necessity makes the very existence of billions of people doubtful. Here we show, using both observations and one IPCC-AR4 model with high horizontal resolution, that the Himalayan region in fact underwent a maximum warming of 2.5˚C from 1950 to 1999 and would reach the highest temperature rise of 9˚C in 2100. Temperature and rainfall variations determine a simple climate classification proposed by Köppen. We show changes that occur in climate and biosphere using this classification. Also we discussed the impact of warming and resulting changes in Köppen climates on the floods and malaria in India.
Páginas558-574
Idiomapt
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
AreaMET
Nota SecundáriaB4_GEOCIÊNCIAS
Tamanho2517 KiB
Número de Arquivos1
Arquivo Alvorao_himalayan.pdf
Última Atualização2016:12.12.16.37.55 dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 administrator
Última Atualização dos Metadados2018:06.04.23.26.13 dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 administrator {D 2016}
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Acervo Hospedeirodpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01
Tipo do ConteudoExternal Contribution
Estágio do Documentonot transferred
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Política de Arquivamentoallowpublisher allowfinaldraft
Permissão de Leituraallow from all
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL
Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
Conteúdo da Pasta agreementnão têm arquivos
Histórico2016-12-12 16:37:55 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2016
2018-06-04 23:26:13 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination e-mailaddress format isbn lineage mark month nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
Data de Acesso19 out. 2020
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3N32B6P
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/12.19.18.26   (acesso restrito)
Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/12.19.18.26.22
Sitemtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br
DOI10.13031/trans.59.11588
ISSN2151-0032
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoResendeMiraChouCook:2016:EfCoPr
Autor1 Resende, Nicole
2 Miranda, J. H.
3 Chou, Sin Chan
4 Cooke, R. A.
Grupo1
2
3 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
2 Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
4 University of Illinois
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1
2
3 chou.sinchan@cptec.inpe.br
TítuloRegional climate change and drainage systems: effects on corn productivity and profitability in campinas, brazil
RevistaTransactions of the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers
Ano2016
Volume59
Número6
Palavras-ChaveClimate change, Corn productivity, Drainage system, Eta model, SISDRENA model.
ResumoMany natural systems are being affected by regional climate change. The hypothesis of this article is that regional climate change may affect the profitability and productivity of corn, which may require changes in the optimum de - sign of drainage systems in the future. Our aim is to determine the effects of regional climate change on the relationship between drain spacing, corn productivity, and profitability and to derive estimates of productivity and profitability until the year 2100 using different future scenarios of climate simulation (CNTRL, HIGH, LOW, and MIDI). Our goal is to opti - mize drainage system designs that account for changes in climate using different drain spacing and types of soil in Campinas, Brazil. This study also evaluates the performance of the Eta regional climate model to simulate precipitation and air temperature for the study area. Evapotranspiration calculated with the Thornthwaite method (using observed and simu - lated data) and precipitation data were used as input for the SISDRENA model, which evaluates the performance of onedimensional drainage systems. As output, the SISDRENA model provides information about drainage system design and indexes of water stress, productivity, and profitability. The general conclusion is that the Eta model is a good tool for studying the effects of climate change in the region because the simulations approximated the observed data. All sets of analyzed years indicated that a spacing of 20 m between drains was best, producing the highest average productivity and profitability. Clay loam soils tended to have higher productivity and profitability than clay soils, which translates to greater profit for the producer. However, the temperature and precipitation variations predicted by the Eta model showed that corn profitability may be reduced, changing the potential productivity in Campinas, Brazil.
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Arquivo Alvoresende_regional.pdf
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Tipo da ReferênciaJournal Article
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W/3MTNFM4
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/12.05.21.49.59   (acesso restrito)
Metadadossid.inpe.br/plutao/2016/12.05.21.50
Siteplutao.sid.inpe.br
DOI10.4236/jwarp.2016.812087
Rótulolattes: 4336175279058172 4 RibeiroNetoPazMareChan:2016:HyPrCl
ISSN1945-3094
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Chave de CitaçãoRibeiroNetoPazMareChou:2016:HyPrCl
Autor1 Ribeiro Neto, Alfredo
2 Paz, Adriano Rolim da
3 Marengo, José Antonio
4 Chou, Sin Chan
Grupo1
2
3
4 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)
2 Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)
3 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)
4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1
2
3
4 chou.sinchan@cptec.inpe.br
TítuloHydrological processes and climate change in hydrographic regions of Brazil
RevistaJournal of Water Resource and Protection
Ano2016
Volume8
Número12
Palavras-ChaveAmerica do Sul, Modelo Eta, Mudanças climáticas, Modelo hidrologico, Hydrological Modelling, IPCC Scenarios, Climate Change, Impacts.
ResumoThe objective of this work is to assess the impacts of IPCC AR5 climate change scenarios on water resources and hydrological processes across the entire Brazilian territory. Hydrological simulations are carried out in total drainage area of about 11,535,645 km2 and average stream flow of about 272,460 m3 /s. The study area consists of different climates and land covers such as the Amazon Forest, Northeast Semiarid, Brazilian Savannah, Pantanal wetlands and temperate climate in the South. The atmospheric forcing to drive the large-scale hydrological model MGB-IPH is derived from the downscaling of two global climate models, HadGEM2-ES and MIROC5, by the Eta Regional Climate Model, at 20 km resolution. The Eta model provided the downscaling of the baseline (1961-1990) and three time-slices (2011- 2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099). These projections adopted two emission scenarios, the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The change in the average and extremes of precipitation, evapotranspiration, rates of river discharge and soil moisture were assessed. The simulations showed the response of the hydrographic regions due to change of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration in the scenarios. Water availability decreases in almost the entire study area (exception for the South) and the major basins for hydroelectric power generation are affected. The Northwest, Amazon and a small area along the Northeast Atlantic coast exhibited intensification of the extremes discharges, where the anomaly is positive for high-flow (Q10) and negative for low-flow (Q95). The results highlight the most climatic sensitive regions in Brazil in terms of hydrological variables and water resources.
Páginas1103-1127
NotasSetores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento científico.
Idiomaen
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
AreaMET
Nota SecundáriaB2_INTERDISCIPLINAR B2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B3_GEOCIÊNCIAS B4_ENGENHARIAS_II B4_BIODIVERSIDADE B5_MATERIAIS C_QUÍMICA
Tamanho8205 KiB
Número de Arquivos1
Arquivo Alvoribeiro neto_hydrological.pdf
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Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination e-mailaddress format isbn lineage mark month nextedition nexthigherunit orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url
Data de Acesso19 out. 2020
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