| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Book Section | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3R3EHG2 | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/05.04.18.45 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2018:05.04.18.45.25 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/05.04.18.45.25 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2020:12.07.21.11.36 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Secondary Key | INPE--/ | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/978-3-319-68339-3_15 | |||
| ISBN | 978-331968339-3 | |||
| Citation Key | TorresLapoGama:2018:FuClCh | |||
| Title | Future climate change in the Caatinga  | |||
| Year | 2018 | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 05 | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE LI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 1738 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Torres, Roger Rodrigues 2 Lapola, David Montenegro 3 Gamarra, Nancy Laura Rios | |||
| Group | 1 2 3 MET-MET-SESPG-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Universidade Federal de Itajubá (UNIFEI) 2 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 roger.torres@unifei.edu.br | |||
| Editor | Silva, José Maria Cardoso da Leal, Inara R. Tabarelli, Marcelo | |||
| Book Title | Caatinga: the largest tropical dry forest region in South America | |||
| Publisher | Springer | |||
| Pages | 383-410 | |||
| History (UTC) | 2018-05-04 18:46:11 :: simone -> administrator :: 2018 2020-12-07 21:11:36 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Climate change Northeast Brazil Caatinga Drought Vulnerability Impacts | |||
| Abstract | This chapter discusses the general aspects of climate variability and climate change in South America, with a special focus on Brazils northeast region in which the Caatinga is located. It describes the main findings reported in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC AR5), and provides a brief review of the literature addressing climate change in northeast Brazil. In addition, simulations and projections of temperature and precipitation changes provided by 24 state-of-the art Earth System Models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) dataset that were analyzed in the IPCC AR5 are assessed. For scenarios of future projections, the near surface air temperature should increase by at least 1 °C for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6 (low radiative forcing scenario) and by 4 °C for the RCP8.5 (high radiative forcing scenario) by the end of the twenty-first century. For the Caatinga, there is a considerable spread amongst rainfall change projections of ±1 mm day−1, relative to 19611990, making it hard to identify any tendency in projected rainfall change. However, the RCP8.5 forcing scenario shows a slight rainfall reduction of about 0.3 mm day−1 by 2100. Among the most affected regions in Brazil, the Amazon and northeast regions appear to be large hotspots. For some modeling studies, projections of the future climate show a savannization of parts of the Amazon and desertification of the Caatinga region, with potential adverse impacts on biodiversity, supply and quality of water resources, carbon storage, and the provision of other ecosystem services. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | torres_future.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F35TRS | |||
| Dissemination | BNDEPOSITOLEGAL | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | archivingpolicy archivist callnumber city copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress edition format issn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor seriestitle session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype translator url volume | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||