| 1. Identificação | |
| Tipo de Referência | ePrint (Electronic Source) |
| Site | mtc-m16c.sid.inpe.br |
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.23.18.43 |
| Última Atualização | 2008:07.23.18.43.48 (UTC) administrator |
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.23.18.43.44 |
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2021:01.02.04.00.48 (UTC) administrator |
| Chave de Citação | MarengoRusPenRenLab:2008:Pa2:Hi |
| Título | An intercomparison of observed and simulated extreme rainfall and temperature events during the last half of the twentieth century: part 2: historical Trends  |
| Ano | 2008 |
| Data de Acesso | 23 jun. 2024 |
| Tipo de Suporte | On-line |
| Tipo Secundário | PRE PI |
| Número de Arquivos | 1 |
| Tamanho | 4169 KiB |
| 2. Contextualização | |
| Autor | 1 Marengo, José Antonio 2 Rusticucci, Matilde 3 Penalba, Olga 4 Renom, Madeleine 5 Laborbe, Renam |
| Grupo | 1 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC) 2 Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos FCEN Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina 3 Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos FCEN Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina 4 4Unidad Ciencias de la Atmósfera, FCIEN, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay |
| Publicação Alternativa | Climatic Change |
| Produtor | Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais |
| Cidade | São José dos Campos |
| Estágio da Publicação Alternativa | published |
| Avanço | ePrint update |
| Histórico (UTC) | 2008-07-23 18:43:49 :: deicy -> administrator :: 2009-08-04 13:43:38 :: administrator -> deicy :: 2010-04-15 14:07:20 :: deicy -> administrator :: 2021-01-02 04:00:48 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2008 |
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
| Transferível | 1 |
| Palavras-Chave | * |
| Resumo | Projections of changes in climate extremes are critical to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on human and natural systems. Therefore, especial care should be put on the validation of those extremes derived for present climate in both spatial and temporal variability. We analyze historical simulations of three such indicators as derived from seven GCMs contributing to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC-AR4) for the XX century. Our focus is on the consensus in the geographical and temporal variability of temperature and rainfall extreme trends between observations and the GCMs, in terms of direction and significance of the changes at the scale of South America south of 10 oS. The climate extremes described by the 3 indices include warm nights, heavy rainfall amounts and dry spells. The observed historical trends in extremes generally agree with previous observational studies that used other indicators of extremes, and the favorable comparison in the warm nights and extreme rainfall in some regions provides a basic sense of reliability for the GCM simulations. For any specific temperature index, minor differences appear in the spatial distribution of the changes across models in some regions, while substantial differences appear in regions in interior tropical and subtropical South America. The differences are in the relative magnitude of the trends. Consensus and significance are less strong when regional patterns are considered, with the exception of the La Plata Basin, where observed and simulated trends in warm nights and extreme rainfall are evident. This analysis provides a first overview of simulated trends in extremes for present climates, and further work is focused on projected changes in climate extremes from the IPCC-AR4 models.. |
| Área | MET |
| Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > An intercomparison of... |
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | não têm arquivos |
| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
| URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.23.18.43 |
| URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.23.18.43 |
| Idioma | en |
| Arquivo Alvo | v1.pdf |
| Grupo de Usuários | administrator administrator deicy marciana |
| Visibilidade | shown |
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | |
| Edição Posterior | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2010/04.15.14.07 |
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 |
| Acervo Hospedeiro | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17 |
| 6. Notas | |
| Campos Vazios | accessyear archivingpolicy archivist contenttype copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi e-mailaddress edition electronicmailaddress format identifier isbn issn label lastupdatedate lineage mark mirrorrepository notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit project readergroup readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url versiontype |
| 7. Controle da descrição | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| atualizar | |