@InProceedings{YanaiFearGraç:2011:SiEfCr,
               author = "Yanai, Aurora Miho and Fearnside, Philip Martin and Gra{\c{c}}a, 
                         Paulo Maur{\'{\i}}cio Lima de Alencastro",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz{\^o}nia - INPA} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz{\^o}nia - INPA} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz{\^o}nia - INPA}",
                title = "Desmatamento no sul do Amazonas: Simula{\c{c}}{\~a}o do efeito 
                         da cria{\c{c}}{\~a}o da Reserva de Desenvolvimento 
                         Sustent{\'a}vel do Juma",
            booktitle = "Anais...",
                 year = "2011",
               editor = "Epiphanio, Jos{\'e} Carlos Neves and Galv{\~a}o, L{\^e}nio 
                         Soares",
                pages = "6193--6200",
         organization = "Simp{\'o}sio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, 15. (SBSR).",
            publisher = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
              address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
             keywords = "environmental modeling, leakage, protected areas, modelagem 
                         ambiental, vazamento, {\'a}reas protegidas.",
             abstract = "In Amazonia, the Juma Sustainable Development Reserve was the 
                         first protected area to be benefited by a Reducing Emissions from 
                         Deforestation and Degradation (REDD) project. However, the 
                         possibility of obtaining carbon credits through REDD projects may 
                         be compromised by the effect of leakage. The aim of this study was 
                         to analyze the effect of creating the Juma reserve considering a 
                         period of 42 years (2008-2050) by simulating three scenarios: 
                         baseline scenario (without the Juma reserve), a scenario with 
                         leakage (CV) where the creation of the reserve would cause a shift 
                         in deforestation, and a scenario with reduced leakage (CVR), where 
                         leakage is reduced. Considering the study area as a whole the 
                         simulation shows that by 2050 there would be a reduction in forest 
                         cover of 16.0% (14,695 km2) in the baseline scenario, 15.9% 
                         (14,647 km2) in the CV scenario and 15.4% (14,219 km2) in the CVR 
                         scenario, as compared to what was present in 2008. The loss of 
                         forest cover within the limits of the Juma reserve by 2050 would 
                         be 18.9% (1,052.4 km 2 ) in the baseline scenario and 7.1% (394.9 
                         km 2 ) in the CV and CVR scenarios, as compared to what was 
                         present in 2008.",
  conference-location = "Curitiba",
      conference-year = "30 abr. - 5 maio 2011",
                 isbn = "{978-85-17-00056-0 (Internet)} and {978-85-17-00057-7 (DVD)}",
             language = "pt",
         organisation = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
                  ibi = "3ERPFQRTRW/39UG62L",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/3ERPFQRTRW/39UG62L",
           targetfile = "p1076.pdf",
                 type = "Desflorestamento",
        urlaccessdate = "04 jun. 2024"
}