@Article{AlvarengaMelColCuaCho:2016:HyReCl,
author = "Alvarenga, L{\'{\i}}via Alves and Mello, Carlos Rog{\'e}rio de
and Colombo, Alberto and Cuartas, Luz Adriana and Chou, Sin Chan",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Universidade Federal
de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and
{Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais
(CEMADEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
(INPE)}",
title = "Hydrological responses to climate changes in a headwater
watershed",
journal = "Ci{\^e}ncia e Agrotecnologia",
year = "2016",
volume = "40",
number = "6",
pages = "647--657",
month = "nov./dec.",
note = "{Setores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento
cient{\'{\i}}fico.}",
keywords = "DHSVM, Modelo Eta, Mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas.",
abstract = "Climate change impacts need to be considered in water resource
planning. This work aims to study of the impacts climate change on
Lavrinha headwater watershed, located in the Mantiqueira Range,
southeastern Brazil. The impacts from climate change (RCP 8.5
scenario) in the Lavrinha watershed runoff were analyzed based on
the Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM), forced
with the climate simulated for this future climate change
scenario. These simulations, in turn, were generated by the Eta
regional climate model coupled to Global Climate Model (GCM)
HadGEM2-ES for the 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods. The
results of this study showed that the runoff is very sensitive to
rising temperatures and reduced precipitation, both projected for
the RCP 8.5 scenario. The hydrological simulation projected a
reduction in the monthly streamflow between 20 and 77% over the
twenty-first century (2011-2099), corresponding to drastic
reductions in the runoff behavior and consequently in the water
production capacity of the region. RESUMO: Climate change impacts
need to be considered in water resource planning. This work aims
to study of the impacts climate change on Lavrinha headwater
watershed, located in the Mantiqueira Range, southeastern Brazil.
The impacts from climate change (RCP 8.5 scenario) in the Lavrinha
watershed runoff were analyzed based on the Distributed Hydrology
Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM), forced with the climate simulated
for this future climate change scenario. These simulations, in
turn, were generated by the Eta regional climate model coupled to
Global Climate Model (GCM) HadGEM2-ES for the 2011-2040, 2041-2070
and 2071-2099 periods. The results of this study showed that the
runoff is very sensitive to rising temperatures and reduced
precipitation, both projected for the RCP 8.5 scenario. The
hydrological simulation projected a reduction in the monthly
streamflow between 20 and 77% over the twenty-first century
(2011-2099), corresponding to drastic reductions in the runoff
behavior and consequently in the water production capacity of the
region.",
doi = "10.1590/1413-70542016406027716",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1413-70542016406027716",
issn = "1413-7054",
label = "lattes: 4336175279058172 5 AlvarengaMelColCuaCha:2016:HyReCl",
language = "en",
targetfile = "alvarenga_hydrological.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "03 jun. 2024"
}