@Article{CarvalhoMeNóPiOmRaGi:2015:ImClCh,
author = "Carvalho, Andr{\'e} Luiz and Menezes, R{\^o}mulo Sim{\~o}es
Cezar and N{\'o}brega, Rany{\'e}re Silva and Pinto, Alexandre de
Siqueira and Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud and von Randow,
Celso and Giarolla, Ang{\'e}lica",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade
Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade Federal de
Pernambuco (UFPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Sergipe (UFS)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane yield in
Pernambuco, northeastern region of Brazil",
journal = "Renewable Energy",
year = "2015",
volume = "78",
pages = "26--34",
month = "June",
keywords = "Global warming, Future climate scenarios, Century 4.5 model,
Sugarcane.",
abstract = "Sugarcane is a typical culture of hot and humid climate and
therefore is well adapted to the climate in many regions of
Brazil. However, there may be yield reductions in the Northeastern
region of Brazil due to possible future reductions in rainfall
levels. The aim of this study was to simulate, using the Century
4.5 model, the impact of climate changes on potential sugarcane
yield in Goiana and Itamb{\'e}, Zona da Mata of Pernambuco. The
Century 4.5 model was booted with soil and climate data from 1950
to 2012. Data on total soil carbon, soil texture (sand, silt and
clay contents), pH, soil density and soc stocks were obtained from
previous studies. The climate scenario used was the average
emissions SRES A1B, designed by Eta/CPTEC model for periods
20142040, 20412070 and 20712100, which is composed of LOW member
(low emissions) and HIGH member (high emissions). According to the
results obtained by A1B scenario, the potential yield can be
reduced in the near future (20142040). The high temperatures in
northeastern Brazil will increase the evapotranspiration rates,
reducing the amount of water available in the soil, making the
planting of sugarcane increasingly difficult, which tend to be
strongly reduced in drier areas, such as cities located in the
western portion of the Zona da Mata region, northern state of
Pernambuco, Brazil.",
doi = "10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.023",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.12.023",
issn = "0960-1481",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Carvalho_Impact.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "15 jun. 2024"
}