@InProceedings{Jack:2006:ReScKi,
               author = "Jack, Christopher",
          affiliation = "{Department of Environmental and Geographical Science} and 
                         University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3 and Rondebosch 7701, South 
                         Africa",
                title = "A regional scale kinematic moisture transport model analysis of 
                         the Southern Africa",
            booktitle = "Proceedings...",
                 year = "2006",
               editor = "Vera, Carolina and Nobre, Carlos",
                pages = "1111--1111",
         organization = "International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and 
                         Oceanography, 8. (ICSHMO).",
            publisher = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
              address = "45 Beacon Hill Road, Boston, MA, USA",
             keywords = "continental rainfall.",
             abstract = "The Southern African region is widely acknowledged to be an area 
                         that is highly vulnerable to climate variability, particularly 
                         rainfall variability. Many recent climate change studies have 
                         suggested increased climate variability for the region in the 
                         future. Increasing population pressures caused by population 
                         growth as well as urbanisation will only magnify the vulnerability 
                         of the area to extremes in climate with drought being of major 
                         concern. Understanding the regional climate and in particular the 
                         processes driving the regional moisture cycle is critical to any 
                         attempts to predict the response of the regional climate to future 
                         climate change forcing. Past research of moisture transport 
                         mechanisms in the area have largely been focussed on the large 
                         scale using relatively course scale tools such General Circulation 
                         Models (GCM), gridded moisture flux analysis and some simple 
                         trajectory modelling. Recent developments in Regional Climate 
                         Modelling (RCMs) have shown that regional scale moisture transport 
                         processes are much more complicated than can be captured with the 
                         course scale tools mentioned. Of particular interest are local 
                         sources of moisture including the role of the land surface in 
                         serving as a source of moisture. Linked to this is the concept of 
                         moisture recycling which describes the process whereby the local 
                         land surface provides moisture for local precipitation. Past 
                         studies have shown that for some areas this can play an important 
                         role in the regional precipitation. In order to investigate these 
                         complexities this study has used a modern RCM to simulate the 
                         regional climate of Southern Africa on climatological time scales. 
                         The output of the RCM has then been used to drive a regional 
                         kinematic moisture transport model that traces parcels of moist 
                         air backwards in time from the point of precipitation to areas of 
                         evaporation. In addition, grid based moisture recycling and source 
                         sink analyses have been done to support and guide the results of 
                         the trajectory model. The results presented show the 
                         climatological regional scale moisture pathways as well as 
                         intra-annual and inter-annual variability in the moisture 
                         pathways. This variability is presented in conjunction with the 
                         results of the moisture recycling and source sink analysis to give 
                         a comprehensive and quantitative analysis of regional scale 
                         moisture transport..",
  conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u",
      conference-year = "24-28 Apr. 2006",
             language = "en",
         organisation = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
                  ibi = "dpi.inpe.br/Gemini@80/2005/12.14.19.13",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/dpi.inpe.br/Gemini@80/2005/12.14.19.13",
           targetfile = "1111-1112.pdf",
                 type = "Monsoon systems and continental rainfall",
        urlaccessdate = "29 jun. 2024"
}