@InProceedings{CorreiaRocManFreMor:2010:MoImMu,
               author = "Correia, Francis Wagner Silva and Rocha, Vin{\'{\i}}cius Machado 
                         and Manzi, Ant{\^o}nio Ocimar and Freitas, Saulo Ribeiro de and 
                         Moreira, Demerval Soares",
          affiliation = "1Universidade do Estado do Amazonas – UEA. Av Darcy Vargas 1200 – 
                         Parque 10, Manaus – Amazonas and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         da Amaz{\^o}nia – INPA} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da 
                         Amaz{\^o}nia – INPA} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais 
                         (INPE)}",
                title = "Modelagem do impacto das mudan{\c{c}}as no uso da terra e aumento 
                         dos gases de efeito estufa (GEE) no balan{\c{c}}o de {\'a}gua na 
                         Bacia Amaz{\^o}nica",
            booktitle = "Anais...",
                 year = "2010",
         organization = "Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia (CBMET), 16.",
            publisher = "SBMET",
              address = "Rio de Janeiro",
                 note = "http://www.cbmet2010.com/anais/",
             keywords = "Amaz{\^o}nia, Desflorestamento, BRAMS 1. 
                         Introdu{\c{c}}{\~a}o.",
             abstract = "The Brazilian Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (BRAMS), 
                         coupled to the dynamic vegetation model - General Energy and Mass 
                         Transfer Model (GEMTM) was used to determine the effects of 
                         land-use change and increased CO2 concentrations on the 
                         hydrological cycle of the Amazon basin for two scenarios: (i) 
                         Land-use cover Amazon Basin for the year 2000 and current climate 
                         initialized and driven by boundary conductions form the Community 
                         Climate System Model (CCSM3) atmospheric-ocean model and (ii) 
                         Predicted land-use cover for the year 2050 and emission scenario 
                         (SRES A2) for 2050 by CCSM3. The combined effect of deforestation 
                         and increased CO2 concentrations, including the interaction among 
                         the processes, is an increase in the temperature of 3 to 4 degrees 
                         C and a decrease in the basin-average precipitation of 30%. A 
                         Positive Feedback Mechanism (PFM) on the hydrological cycle was 
                         observed, in which, changes in the regional circulation (moisture 
                         convergence) and evapotranspiration led to the decrease in 
                         precipitation in Amazon Basin. This mechanism is worrying because 
                         it can produce instability in the system and consequently, lead to 
                         changes in natural ecosystems of the Amazon. This is particularly 
                         relevant since the natural ecosystems do not exhibit great 
                         adaptability to the magnitude of climate change on such short time 
                         scales.",
  conference-location = "Belem",
      conference-year = "2010",
                label = "lattes: 9873289111461387 4 CorreiaRocManFreMor:2010:MoImMu",
             language = "pt",
           targetfile = "323_77507.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "20 maio 2024"
}