@Article{CavalcantiMarSanCamMen:2001:ClPrPr,
author = "Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque and Marengo, Jose{\'e}
Antonio and Sanches, Marcos Barbosa and Camargo, Helio and Mendes,
David",
affiliation = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais,(INPE/CPTEC) and
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais,(INPE/CPTEC) and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)}",
title = "Climate Prediction of precipitation for the Nordeste rainy season
of MAM 2001",
journal = "Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin",
year = "2001",
volume = "10",
number = "1",
pages = "on line",
month = "Mar.",
abstract = "Monthly to seasonal dynamical atmospheric prediction at CPTEC have
been performed since January 1995. The model used for these
predictions is the CPTEC version of the COLA AGCM which was
derived from the NCEP model ( Kinter et al. 1988) and includes a
sophisticated biosphere model, SiB (Xue et al. 1991). The
horizontal resolution of the AGCM CPTEC/COLA is T62 and there are
28 levels in the vertical (Cavalcanti et al. 1995). The seasonal
predictions at CPTEC, during the first 3 years, were results of an
ensemble of 4 members, using 4 consecutive days as initial
conditions. In 1998 there was an increase in the number of
ensemble members, with the prediction based on 25 integrations.
The application of boundary conditions also changed, from the use
of persisted SST anomalies, to predicted SST. In the tropical
Pacific, the SST is given by NCEP coupled model forecast, and in
the tropical Atlantic the SST is predicted using a statistical
model (Pezzi et al. 1998). Outside these regions persisted SST
anomalies are used.",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
language = "en",
targetfile = "cptec.htm",
url = "http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Mar01/cptec.htm",
urlaccessdate = "16 jun. 2024"
}