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@Article{PolizelViPoFeSoBaOm:2021:AnDyLa,
               author = "Polizel, Silvia Palotti and Vieira, Rita M{\'a}rcia da Silva 
                         Pinto and Pompeu, Jo{\~a}o Arthur and Ferreira, Yara da Cruz and 
                         Sousa Neto, Er{\'a}clito Rodrigues de and Barbosa, Alexandre 
                         Augusto and Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais 
                         (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Analysing the dynamics of land use in the context of current 
                         conservation policies and land tenure in the Cerrado – MATOPIBA 
                         region (Brazil)",
              journal = "Land Use Policy",
                 year = "2021",
               volume = "109",
                pages = "e105713",
                month = "Oct.",
                 note = "{Pr{\^e}mio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 15: Vida terrestre}",
             keywords = "Agribusiness, Deforestation, Forest Code, Land use and land cover 
                         change, Native vegetation, Private rural properties.",
             abstract = "The side effect of the expansion of agricultural activities in the 
                         Brazilian Cerrado resulted in a loss of its native vegetation, 
                         biodiversity decline, and increasing greenhouse gas emissions. 
                         Recent expansion has mainly occurred in the northern Cerrado, a 
                         region known as MATOPIBA, which is the latest agricultural 
                         frontier in Brazil and is largely cultivated for agricultural 
                         commodities. In this paper, we investigate the spatiotemporal 
                         behaviour of Cerrado vegetation and agricultural areas in the 
                         Cerrado MATOPIBA (CM) region between 1990 and 2017. Moreover, we 
                         analyse the planted area expansion of soybean and other important 
                         crops for the region and their productivity, and examine how 
                         pasturelands have changed over time. We also present a map of 
                         private rural lands and analyse whether they comply with the 
                         national Forest Code (FC) regarding in-farm areas of natural 
                         vegetation that ought to be preserved by law. Finally, we estimate 
                         how much of the current deforestation rates could be avoided in 
                         the CM region if the Soy Moratorium (SoyM) or the FC are 
                         implemented. Results show a loss of almost 8.4 Mha of the Cerrado 
                         vegetation in the study area and an expansion of 4.3 Mha of 
                         agricultural lands between 1990 and 2017. Our analysis indicates 
                         that soybean planted areas expanded by 326% between 2000 and 2017 
                         and that soybean average productivity increased from 2483 kg/ha in 
                         2000 to2906 kg/ha in 2017. In addition to soybean, other crops 
                         also contributed to the agribusiness economy in the CM region, 
                         with corn being the crop with the greatest expansion of planted 
                         areas over the same period (643,443 ha), and cotton the 
                         cultivation with the highest increase in productivity (from 2300 
                         kg/ha to 3822 kg/ha) in these 17 analysed years. Pasturelands 
                         expanded from 6.4 Mha in 2000 9.8 Mha in 2017. In 2018, private 
                         rural properties consisted of only 7188 large properties and 
                         occupied 19.5 Mha, whereas small and medium properties accounted 
                         for 136,586 farms and covered a total of only 17.5 Mha. With 
                         respect to the national FC, the deficit of preservation areas in 
                         the CM region, in relation to the agricultural area of each 
                         municipality, totalled almost 1.4 Mha in 2017, with large 
                         properties responsible for 57% of this deficit. Looking at the 
                         policies and mechanisms to protect the native vegetation of the CM 
                         region, we have that 17,219,250 ha can still be deforested on the 
                         rural properties in this region; and, if the SoyM was expanded to 
                         the Cerrado MATOPIBA region, almost 900,000 ha covered by native 
                         vegetation on the categories of farms selected would have been 
                         prevented to be converted to soybeans since 2010. The findings 
                         from this paper provide a comprehensive understanding of the land 
                         use and land cover changes and of the Cerrado deforestation 
                         patterns in the CM region for the last decades, and gather 
                         information on conservation policies in place to suggest 
                         improvements. Several datasets were combined, mainly focus on 
                         quantitative analysis, to investigate the geospatial dynamics of 
                         natural and agribusiness areas in the study region, and suggest 
                         the need to reinforce the preservation of Cerrado native 
                         vegetation areas, particularly those that are liable to be legally 
                         deforested.",
                  doi = "10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105713",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105713",
                 issn = "0264-8377 and 1873-5754",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "polizel_analysing.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "11 jun. 2024"
}


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