@Article{CavalcantiPezMarSamSan:1998:ClPrPr,
author = "Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque and Pezzi, Luciano
Ponzi and Marengo, Jose Antonio and Sampaio, Gilvan and Sanches,
Marcos Barbosa",
affiliation = "{CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil}",
title = "Climate Prediction of precipitation over South America for DJF
1998/99 and MAM 1999",
journal = "Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin",
year = "1998",
volume = "7",
number = "4",
pages = "24--27",
month = "dec.",
abstract = "Monthly to seasonal dynamical atmospheric predictions at CPTEC
have been performed since January 1995. The model used for these
predictions is the CPTEC version of the COLA AGCM which was
derived from the NCEP model (Kinter et al., 1988) and includes a
sophisticated biosphere model (Xue et al., 1991). The horizontal
resolution of the AGCM is T62 and there are 28 levels in the
vertical (L28; Cavalcanti et al., 1995). Predictions for the rainy
season of Nordeste (Northeast of Brazil) in 1995 were discussed in
Nobre et al. (1995), and those for 1996, in Nobre and Cavalcanti
(1996). Results from simulations (with a T42 L18) version of the
model of the Nordeste rainy season of 1993 and 1994 using observed
monthly Sea Surface Temperature (SST) as boundary conditions
compared well with observed values of precipitation, and with NCEP
reanalyses data (Cavalcanti et al., 1996). Precipitation anomalies
in Nordeste (area averaged, 20S-120S; 450W-350W) from an 11 year
simulation (1986 to 1996), using the T42L18 model reproduces much
of the interannual variability in this region. (Cavalcanti et al.,
1998). The forecast of the February-May 1998 rainy season in
Nordeste was quite good.",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
language = "en",
targetfile = "iracema.htm",
url = "http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Dec98/iracema.htm",
urlaccessdate = "15 jun. 2024"
}