@Article{OliveiraBottNobrNobr:2021:DeClCh,
               author = "Oliveira, Beatriz F{\'a}tima Alves de and Bottino, Marcus Jorge 
                         and Nobre, Paulo and Nobre, Carlos Afonso",
          affiliation = "{Funda{\c{c}}{\~a}o Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade de S{\~a}o Paulo 
                         (USP)}",
                title = "Deforestation and climate change are projected to increase heat 
                         stress risk in the Brazilian Amazon",
              journal = "Communications Earth \& Environment",
                 year = "2021",
               volume = "2",
               number = "1",
                pages = "e207",
                month = "Oct.",
             abstract = "Land use change and deforestation can influence local temperature 
                         and climate. Here we use a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to 
                         assess the impact of savannization of the Amazon Basin on the 
                         wet-bulb globe temperature heat stress index under two climate 
                         change scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). We find that heat stress 
                         exposure due to deforestation was comparable to the effect of 
                         climate change under RCP8.5. Our findings suggest that heat stress 
                         index could exceed the human adaptation limit by 2100 under the 
                         combined effects of Amazon savannization and climate change. 
                         Moreover, we find that risk of heat stress exposure was highest in 
                         Northern Brazil and among the most socially vulnerable. We suggest 
                         that by 2100, savannization of the Amazon will lead to more than 
                         11 million people will be exposed heat stress that poses an 
                         extreme risk to human health under a high emission scenario.",
                  doi = "10.1038/s43247-021-00275-8",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00275-8",
                 issn = "2662-4435",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "Oliveira_deforestation.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "03 jun. 2024"
}