@Article{ShimizuAnocKaya:2022:ClTrAs,
author = "Shimizu, Mar{\'{\i}}lia Harumi and Anochi, Juliana Aparecida and
Kayano, Mary Toshie",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Precipitation patterns over northern Brazil basins: climatology,
trends, and associated mechanisms",
journal = "Theoretical and Applied Climatology",
year = "2022",
volume = "147",
number = "1/2",
pages = "767--783",
month = "Jan.",
abstract = "In recent decades, the climate in North and Northeast Brazil has
undergone significant changes, which indicate potential risks for
water and food security due to increasing temperatures, changing
precipitation patterns, and greater frequency of some extreme
events. For example, there is evidence of changes in the strength
of the hydrological cycles on North and Northeast Brazil river
basins, but the magnitude and extension of the precipitation
changes are highly dependent on the precipitation dataset under
consideration and the methodology. Here, we analyze the
precipitation trends in North and Northeast Brazil hydrological
basins and the possible associated mechanisms and present the
rainfall climatological cycles in these basins using
multi-datasets. The results showed that, in most river basins,
there is a clear distinction between the rainy and dry seasons,
with a contrast between the basins of the North (which receive a
higher amount of rainfall) and the Northeast Brazil (with low
rainfall volume, especially in the Parna{\'{\i}}ba and Eastern
Northeast Atlantic basins). Moreover, the annual rainfall has
undergone an increasing trend in western Brazil river basins and a
decreasing trend in the eastern. This eastwest dipole is
associated with the strengthening (weakening) of the Walker and
Hadley circulations in western (eastern) Brazil in recent decades.
A multidecadal variability is seen to modulate the precipitation
changes, which is in phase with the AMO cycle. CMIP6 detection and
attribution experiments showed that both natural and anthropogenic
factors can play a role in the recent changes observed in northern
Brazil river basins.",
doi = "10.1007/s00704-021-03841-4",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03841-4",
issn = "0177-798X",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Shimizu2022_Article_PrecipitationPatternsOverNorth.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "25 jun. 2024"
}