@Article{OliveiraTomCarFalSan:2022:ImSuEx,
               author = "Oliveira, Kenny Delmonte and Tomasella, Javier and Caram, Rochane 
                         de Oliveira and Falck, Aline Schneider and Sanches, Ieda 
                         Del'Arco",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {} and 
                         {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)} and {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de 
                         Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Impacts of sugarcane expansion on water availability in a river 
                         basin in southeastern Brazil",
              journal = "CATENA",
                 year = "2022",
               volume = "216",
                pages = "106437",
             keywords = "Sugarcane crop, Water consumption, Basin scale, Hydrological 
                         model, MHD-INPE.",
             abstract = "The availability of land, favorable edaphoclimatic conditions, and 
                         water have consolidated the role of Brazil as a global player in 
                         the agricultural commodities market, which has driven intensive 
                         land use conversion in recent decades. In this context, the 
                         extensive use of biofuels to mitigate fossil fuel CO2 emissions 
                         has facilitated their replacement as pasture by sugarcane 
                         monoculture, particularly in S ao Paulo State that is responsible 
                         for more than 52% of the countrys sugarcane production. This 
                         expansion has occurred without evaluating its impact on water 
                         availability for other uses. Therefore, this study investigates 
                         the effects of the sugarcane expansion on the hydrological cycle 
                         of the Aguapei\́ River basin in S ao Paulo State, during 
                         19852017. To achieve this goal, we first validated the 
                         hydrological model simulation by comparing the time trajectories 
                         within the Budyko framework for the sub-basin with the longest 
                         observation records. We then assessed the impact of the expansion 
                         of the area under sugarcane by comparing the streamflow over the 
                         study period against a baseline scenario, which assumed that no 
                         land use changes occurred after 1985 in six sub-basins of the 
                         Aguapei\́ River basin. The results revealed a reduction in 
                         streamflow with sugarcane expansion. Although these changes 
                         corresponded to only 25% of the mean streamflow of the baseline 
                         scenario, these can increase to 1327% when the effect of sugarcane 
                         expansion is isolated. Our results suggested that the impacts of 
                         sugarcane on streamflow are gradually diluted at larger scales. We 
                         also estimated that the extra water consumption due to the 
                         sugarcane expansion in S ao Paulo State was 2150 hm3 yr\− 1 
                         in 2017 compared to 1985.",
                  doi = "10.1016/j.catena.2022.106437",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2022.106437",
                 issn = "0341-8162",
                label = "lattes: 2456184661855977 5 OliveiraTomCarFalSan:2022:ImSuEx",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "1-s2.0-S0341816222004234-main.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "25 jun. 2024"
}