@InProceedings{BazzanelaDereSouz:2022:ReSoAm,
author = "Bazzanela, Anna Carolina and Dereczynski, Claudine and Souza,
Pedro Regoto de",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)} and {Universidade
Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Representation of the South American climate by CMIP6 models",
year = "2022",
organization = "Workshop em Modelagem Num{\'e}rica de Tempo, Clima e
Mudan{\c{c}}as Clim{\'a}ticas Usando o Modelo Eta: Aspectos
F{\'{\i}}sicos e Num{\'e}ricos (WorEta), 7.",
publisher = "INPE",
keywords = "Assessment, GCM, ESM, Climate Variability.",
abstract = "Assessing the performance of global climate models in the present
is essential to attribute some degree of confidence to their
future projections. The aim of this work is to evaluate the
ability of 28 {"}Sixth Phase of the Coupled Models Intercomparison
Project{"} (CMIP6) models to represent the South American (SA)
climate during the reference period (1995-2014). We expected that
using the top 10 selected models which best represent the SA
climate (CMIP6- SA), it will be possible to obtain better
simulations, compared to CMIP6. The variables investigated are:
surface mean air temperature, precipitation, seal level
atmospheric pressure, and wind at low (850 hPa) and high (250 hPa)
levels. The assessment is made by comparing the seasonal austral
summer and winter climatologies simulated by the CMIP6 models to
the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) dataset and
the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis
5 (ERA5) Reanalysis. CMIP6 models, GPCP and ERA5 outputs are
interpolated to a 1° latitude x 1° longitude grid. Also, the
performance of the 28 models was objectively evaluated through
Taylor Diagrams, using their precipitation monthly time series
(1980-2014) and temperature monthly time series (1950-2014). The
results show that, at low levels, most models show a good
performance to represent: the South Atlantic and South Pacific
Subtropical Anticyclones; the Intertropical Convergence Zone
(ICTZ) and the South Atlantic Convergence Zone, except for
AWI-ESM-1-1-LR, BCC-ESM1 and IITM-ESM, which do not provide a good
representation of these systems. At high levels, most models
overestimate the magnitude of the Subtropical and Polar Jets. Most
models are able to adequately represent the position of the
Bolivian High and the Northeast Brazilian Trough, except
AWI-ESM-1-1-LR, CAS-ESM2-0, FGOALS-f3-L, GISS-E2-1-G, IITM-ESM,
INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LRINCA, MPI-ESM-1-2-HAM and NESM3. All models
underestimate the air temperature in the Northeast Brazil coastal
region, except for ACCESS-ESM1-5, which overestimates it. This
aspect may be associated with the misrepresentation of the ITCZ,
given that the displacement of this system to the south increases
the cloudiness over the region, which prevents the entry of solar
radiation, resulting in colder temperatures. Overall, the selected
top 10 models are: ACCESS-ESM1-5, CESM2, CMCC-ESM2, EC-EARTH3,
FIO-ESM-2-0, KACE-1-0-G, MIROC6, MRI-ESM2- 0, SAM0-UNICON and
TaiESM1-0.",
conference-location = "Online",
conference-year = "26-30 set. 2022",
ibi = "8JMKD3MGP3W34T/47MGJGS",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34T/47MGJGS",
targetfile = "TO_02_A2_BazzanelaAC.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "29 jun. 2024"
}