@Article{WiltshireVonRosTejCas:2022:UnRoLa,
author = "Wiltshire, Andrew J. and Von Randow, Celso and Rosan, Thais
Michele and Tejada Pinel, Graciela and Castro, Aline Anderson de",
affiliation = "{Met Office Hadley Centre} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and {University of Exeter} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Understanding the role of land¿use emissions in achieving the
Brazilian Nationally Determined Contribution to mitigate climate
change",
journal = "Climate Resilience and Sustainability",
year = "2022",
volume = "1",
pages = "1--19",
keywords = "Climate, Land Use Change, Deforestation, Carbon, Carbon removal,
Greenhouse Gas Inventory.",
abstract = "Brazil has experienced huge areas of forest loss over recent
decades withan estimated removal of 80 MHa of natural forest since
1990. Deforestationcreates substantial greenhouse emissions that
have historically dominated allother sectors. Effective governance
has reduced deforestation and net land-useemissions have fallen by
74% since the mid-2000s. Anthropogenic carbonremoval from
secondary forest regrowth and protected areas has increasedby 62%,
which has helped drive the reduction in net emissions,
offsettinggross emissions which have fallen by 44%. Major
Brazilian biomes, such asthe Atlantic Forest are net-sinks and the
Amazon was near net-zero in 2010.Deforestation has increased over
the last 10-years and now stands at a decadalhigh in the Amazon
region. These increases in deforestation put Brazil at riskof
missing its original National Determined Contribution; however,
the recentrevision has substantially increased the 2005 baseline
and therefore the overalltarget. Carbon removals in the forest
sector play an increasingly importantrole in reducing emissions
and achieving the NDC. The Brazilian target ofachieving 12 MHa of
reforestation and restoration has the potential to furtheroffset
emissions through enhanced regrowth. However, the natural carbon
sinksof Brazil are weakening. The Amazon forest is the single
largest Brazilian biomefor natural carbon uptake but when combined
with land-use emissions has seena net loss over the last 30 years.
The natural sink remains large, but ecosystemresilience is
declining driven by global and local climate change linked to
risinginternational emissions and changing circulation patterns
associated with localdeforestation and degradation. These combine
to make realizing the hugepotential for carbon removal more
challenging. It remains evident that forestprotection and avoided
degradation and disturbance is the best way to mitigateemissions
and reduce climate impacts.",
doi = "10.1002/cli2.31",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/cli2.31",
issn = "2692-4587",
label = "lattes: 0535860239259102 2 WiltshireRanRosTejCas:2022:UnRoLa",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Climate Resilience - 2022 - Wiltshire - Understanding the role of
land\‐use emissions in achieving the Brazilian
Nationally.pdf",
url = "https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/cli2.31",
urlaccessdate = "06 jun. 2024"
}