@InProceedings{FreitasALRSCPS:2022:OcPóAm,
               author = "Freitas, Ana Larissa Ribeiro de and Anderson, Liana Oighenstein 
                         and Le{\~a}o, Paulo Henrique Alves and Reis, Jo{\~a}o Bosco 
                         Coura dos and Silva J{\'u}nior, Celso Henrique Leite and 
                         Carvalho, Nath{\'a}lia Silva de and Pess{\^o}a, Ana Carolina 
                         Moreira and Santos, Wanderson Henrique dos",
          affiliation = "{Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)} and {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de 
                         Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)} and {Centro Nacional de 
                         Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)} and 
                         {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)} and {University of California} and {Instituto Nacional 
                         de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Centro Nacional de 
                         Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)} and 
                         {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alerta de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)}",
                title = "Previs{\~a}o da Probabilidade de Fogo: ocorr{\^e}ncias 
                         p{\'o}s-alerta na Amaz{\^o}nia Maranhense",
            booktitle = "Anais...",
                 year = "2022",
               editor = "Rosim, Sergio (INPE) and Santos, Leonardo Bacelar Lima (CEMADEN) 
                         and Pereira, Marconi de Arruda (UFSJ)",
         organization = "Simp{\'o}sio Brasileiro de Geoinform{\'a}tica, 23. (GEOINFO)",
            publisher = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
              address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
             abstract = "Fires and burning are threats to the lives of populations, 
                         ecosystems and the climate. Initiatives such as the Risk 
                         Management and Impacts of Forest Fires (CEMADEN) platform can 
                         contribute to reducing these risks. This research aimed to 
                         identify the behavior of the occurrence of hotspots compared to 
                         the predicted in the CEMADEN product. It was identified that the 
                         highest occurrence of hotspots, with 83.5%, is concentrated in the 
                         first four quarters of forecast (ASO, SON, OND and NDJ), and the 
                         decrease in alert levels from the DJF forecast. This analysis also 
                         contributes to the understanding of the alert dynamics and helps 
                         in prioritizing municipalities for fire prevention actions. 
                         Resumo. Os inc{\^e}ndios e queimadas s{\~a}o amea{\c{c}}as 
                         {\`a} vida das popula{\c{c}}{\~o}es, dos ecossistemas e do 
                         clima. Iniciativas como a plataforma de Gest{\~a}o de Risco e 
                         Impactos de Queimadas e Inc{\^e}ndios Florestais (CEMADEN) podem 
                         contribuir para a redu{\c{c}}{\~a}o destes riscos. Esta pesquisa 
                         teve como objetivo identificar o comportamento da ocorr{\^e}ncia 
                         de focos de calor frente ao previsto no produto do CEMADEN. 
                         Identificou-se que a maior ocorr{\^e}ncia de focos de calor, com 
                         83,5%, est{\'a} concentrada nos primeiros quatro trimestres de 
                         previs{\~a}o (ASO, SON, OND e NDJ), e a diminui{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         nos n{\'{\i}}veis de alerta a partir da previs{\~a}o de DJF. 
                         Esta an{\'a}lise contribui ainda para o entendimento da 
                         din{\^a}mica do alerta e auxilia na prioriza{\c{c}}{\~a}o de 
                         munic{\'{\i}}pios para a{\c{c}}{\~o}es de 
                         preven{\c{c}}{\~a}o {\`a} queimadas.",
  conference-location = "On-line",
      conference-year = "28 a 30 nov. 2022",
                 issn = "2179-4847",
             language = "pt",
                  ibi = "8JMKD3MGPDW34P/487M9NH",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGPDW34P/487M9NH",
           targetfile = "259-263_Freitas_previsao.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "16 jun. 2024"
}