@Article{MaoZoAlMaTaSaKu:2022:PhCoSu,
author = "Mao, Y. and Zou, Y. and Alves, Lincoln Muniz and Macau, Elbert
Einstein Nehrer and Taschetto, A. S. and Santoso, A. and Kurths,
J.",
affiliation = "{East China Normal University} and {} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and {University of New South Wales} and
{University of New South Wales} and {Potsdam Institute for Climate
Impact Research}",
title = "Phase Coherence Between Surrounding Oceans Enhances Precipitation
Shortages in Northeast Brazil",
journal = "Geophysical Research Letters",
year = "2022",
volume = "49",
number = "9",
pages = "e2021GL097647",
month = "May",
keywords = "Northeast Brazil droughts, SS, Ttropical Atlantic, ENSO, phase
coherence analysis, teleconnections.",
abstract = "Understanding the direct and indirect impact of the Pacific and
Atlantic Oceans on precipitation in the region of Northeast Brazil
(NEB) is crucial for monitoring unprecedented drought events. We
propose nonlinear methods of phase coherence and generalized event
synchronization analysis to understand the underlying mechanism.
In particular, the relationships between sea surface temperature
(SST) variability and the standard precipitation index are
interpreted as direct interactions, while the relationships
between surrounding oceans are interpreted as indirect effects on
the precipitation. Our results reveal a dominant role of tropical
North Atlantic for precipitation deficit and droughts,
particularly in recent decades. Meanwhile, the indirect
Pacific-North Atlantic phase synchronizations have significant
influence on and reinforcement of the droughts in NEB.
Furthermore, we find that the instantaneous angular frequencies of
precipitation and SST are drastically changed after very strong El
Nino and La Nina events, therefore resulting in a higher
probability of phase coherence. Plain Language Summary Atmospheric
teleconnections are coherent climate responses across the globe
and commonly identified by large distance correlations, which have
been largely included in climate analysis. Still, the nonlinear
features of teleconnections to many places across the globe,
including Northeast Brazil (NEB), have not been fully understood.
Here, we propose a nonlinear framework of combining phase
coherence with event synchronization analysis to further
understand the teleconnections between the surrounding oceans and
precipitation in NEB, which has been affected significantly by
extreme droughts in the recent decade. We find that the North
Atlantic Ocean plays a dominant role in affecting NEB rainfall
variability. We also show that this influence has become more
persistent in recent years compared to the impact from the
tropical Pacific. At the same time, the teleconnection between
Pacific and North Atlantic has also become more frequent in recent
years, which suggests that these tropical ocean basin interactions
reinforced the NEB droughts in recent decades.",
doi = "10.1029/2021GL097647",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097647",
issn = "0094-8276",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Geophysical Research Letters - 2022 - Mao - Phase Coherence
Between Surrounding Oceans Enhances Precipitation Shortages
in.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "29 jun. 2024"
}