@Article{MosnierJJABBBBCCDDDDHFFGHIHIJJGLLLLMMMMNNOOOPPPRRRGSSSSSSSSSTOVWWW:2023:DeApMo,
author = "Mosnier, Aline and Javalera-Rincon, Valeria and Jones, Sarah K.
and Andrew, Robbie and Bai, Zhaohai and Baker, Justin and Basnet,
Shyam and Boer, Rizaldi and Chavarro, John and Costa, Wanderson
Santos and Daloz, Anne Sophie and DeClerck, Fabrice A. and Diaz,
Maria and Douzal, Clara and Howe Fan, Andrew Chiah and Fetzer,
Ingo and Frank, Federico and Gonzalez-Abraham, Charlotte E. and
Habiburrachman, A. H. F. and Immanuel, Gito and Harrison, Paula A.
and Imanirareba, Dative and Jha, Chandan and Jin, Xinpeng and
Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar and Leach, Nicholas and Lehtonen, Heikki and
Lotze-Campen, Hermann and Low, Wai Sern and Marcos-Martinez,
Raymundo and McCord, Gordon Carlos and Molla, Kiflu Gedefe and
Monjeau, Adrian and Navarro-Garcia, Javier and Neubauer, Rudolf
and Obersteiner, Michael and Olgu{\'{\i}}n, Marcela and
Orduņa-Cabrera, Fernando and Pena, Andres and
P{\'e}rez-Guzm{\'a}n, Katya and Potashnikov, Vladimir and
R{\"a}m{\"o}, Janne and Ramos, Fernando Manoel and Rasche, Livia
and Gallardo, Ren{\'e} Reyes and Schmidt-Traub, Guido and
Selomane, Odirilwe and Singh, Vartika and Smith, Alison and
Soterroni, Aline C. and Sperling, Frank and Steinhauser, Jan and
Stevanovic, Miodrag and Strokov, Anton and Thomson, Marcus and van
Oort, Bob and Vittis, Yiorgos and Wade, Chris and Winarni, Nurul
L. and Woldeyes, Firew Bekele",
affiliation = "{Sustainable Development Solutions Network} and {International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis} and {Alliance of
Bioversity International and CIAT} and {Center for International
Climate Research} and {Chinese Academy of Sciences} and {NC State
University} and {Stockholm Resilience Centre} and {Bogor
Agricultural University} and {Geo-Agro-Environmental Sciences and
Resources Research Center} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and {Center for International Climate Research}
and {Alliance of Bioversity International and CIAT} and
{Sustainable Development Solutions Network} and {Sustainable
Development Solutions Network} and {Sunway University} and
{Stockholm Resilience Centre} and {National Agricultural
Technology Institute (INTA)} and {UC San Diego} and {University of
Indonesia} and {Stockholm Resilience Centre} and {UK Centre for
Ecology \& Hydrology (CEH)} and {Uganda Martyrs University} and
{Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad} and {Chinese Academy of
Sciences} and {Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad} and
{University of Oxford} and {Natural Resources Institute} and
{Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research} and University,
Petaling Jaya and {Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research
Organisation (CSIRO)} and {UC San Diego} and {Ethiopian
Development Research Institute} and {Fundaci{\'o}n Bariloche} and
{Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
(CSIRO)} and {International Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis} and {International Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis} and {SilvaCarbon/US Forest Service (USFS)} and
{International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis} and
{Independent consultant} and {International Institute for Applied
Systems Analysis} and {Russian Presidential Academy of National
Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)} and {Natural Resources
Institute} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}
and {Universit{\"a}t Hamburg} and {University of British
Columbia} and Systemiq and {Stellenbosch Universit} and {Indian
Institute of Management Ahmedabad} and {UK Centre for Ecology \&
Hydrology (CEH)} and {University of Oxford} and {International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis} and {International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis} and {Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research} and {Russian Presidential Academy of
National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)} and {National
Center for Ecosysem Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS)} and {Center
for International Climate Research} and {International Institute
for Applied Systems Analysis} and {NC State University} and
{University of Indonesia} and {Ethiopian Development Research
Institute}",
title = "A decentralized approach to model national and global food and
land use systems",
journal = "Environmental Research Letters",
year = "2023",
volume = "18",
number = "4",
pages = "e045001",
month = "Apr.",
keywords = "agricultural models, biodiversity, climate change mitigation,
deforestation, food security, trade.",
abstract = "The achievement of several sustainable development goals and the
Paris Climate Agreement depends on rapid progress towards
sustainable food and land systems in all countries. We have built
a flexible, collaborative modeling framework to foster the
development of national pathways by local research teams and their
integration up to global scale. Local researchers independently
customize national models to explore mid-century pathways of the
food and land use system transformation in collaboration with
stakeholders. An online platform connects the national models,
iteratively balances global exports and imports, and aggregates
results to the global level. Our results show that actions toward
greater sustainability in countries could sum up to 1 Mha net
forest gain per year, 950 Mha net gain in the land where natural
processes predominate, and an increased CO2 sink of 3.7 GtCO2e
yr\−1 over the period 2020-2050 compared to current trends,
while average food consumption per capita remains above the
adequate food requirements in all countries. We show examples of
how the global linkage impacts national results and how different
assumptions in national pathways impact global results. This
modeling setup acknowledges the broad heterogeneity of
socio-ecological contexts and the fact that people who live in
these different contexts should be empowered to design the future
they want. But it also demonstrates to local decision-makers the
interconnectedness of our food and land use system and the urgent
need for more collaboration to converge local and global
priorities.",
doi = "10.1088/1748-9326/acc044",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc044",
issn = "1748-9326",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Mosnier_2023_Environ._Res._Lett._18_045001.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "23 maio 2024"
}