@Article{MarengoJimEspCunAra:2022:InClPr,
               author = "Marengo, Jos{\'e} Ant{\^o}nio and Jimenez, Juan C. and Espinoza, 
                         Jhan Carlo and Cunha, Ana Paula and Arag{\~a}o, Luiz Eduardo 
                         Oliveira e Cruz de",
          affiliation = "{Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais 
                         (CEMADEN)} and {Univerdity of Valencia} and {Universit{\'e} 
                         Grenoble Alpes} and {Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de 
                         Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Increased climate pressure on the agricultural frontier in the 
                         Eastern Amazonia–Cerrado transition zone",
              journal = "Scientific Reports",
                 year = "2022",
               volume = "12",
               number = "1",
                pages = "e457",
                month = "Dec.",
                 note = "{Pr{\^e}mio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 2: Fome zero e Agricultura 
                         sustent{\'a}vel}",
             abstract = "Several large-scale drivers of both anthropogenic and natural 
                         environmental changes are interacting nonlinearly in the 
                         transition zone between eastern Amazonia and the adjacent Cerrado, 
                         considered to be another Brazilian agricultural frontier. Land-use 
                         change for agrobusiness expansion together with climate change in 
                         the transition zone between eastern Amazonia and the adjacent 
                         Cerrado may have induced a worsening of severe drought conditions 
                         over the last decade. Here we show that the largest warming and 
                         drying trends over tropical South America during the last four 
                         decades are observed to be precisely in the eastern 
                         AmazoniaCerrado transition region, where they induce delayed 
                         wet-season and worsen severe drought conditions over the last 
                         decade. Our results evidence an increase in temperature, vapor 
                         pressure deficit, subsidence, dry-day frequency, and a decrease in 
                         precipitation, humidity, and evaporation, plus a delay in the 
                         onset of the wet season, inducing a higher risk of fire during the 
                         dry-to-wet transition season. These findings provide observational 
                         evidence of the increasing climatic pressure in this area, which 
                         is sensitive for global food security, and the need to reconcile 
                         agricultural expansion and protection of natural tropical 
                         biomes.",
                  doi = "10.1038/s41598-021-04241-4",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04241-4",
                 issn = "2045-2322",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "Marengo_2022.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "29 jun. 2024"
}