@InProceedings{SampaiodeOliveiraNobrSaty:2006:PrAmDe,
author = "Sampaio de Oliveira, Gilvan and Nobre, Carlos Afonso and
Satyarmurty, Prakki",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Projected Amazonian deforestation in the 21th century and possible
regional climatic impacts",
booktitle = "Proceedings...",
year = "2006",
editor = "Vera, Carolina and Nobre, Carlos",
pages = "939--944",
organization = "International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and
Oceanography, 8. (ICSHMO).",
publisher = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
address = "45 Beacon Hill Road, Boston, MA, USA",
keywords = "Amazon rain-forests, deforestation, vegetation, climate.",
abstract = "In the last years, many authors have discussed the possible
effects of tropical deforestation on global climate processes.
Many AGCM modeling studies have considered the sensitivity of the
climate system to a complete conversion of Amazonian rainforests
to pastures (Dickinson and Henderson-Sellers, 1988; Nobre et al.,
1991, Henderson-Sellers et al., 1993). Most of these studies have
showed the importance of the tropical rainforests for the Earths
climate. The climate of Amazonia is responding to two concurrent
pertubations: rapid rates of land-use change, mostly conversion of
forest to pasture or cropland, and global warming. The present
work evaluates the impacts of the conversion of Amazonia
rainforest to pasture, using five distinct scenarios: 1) land
cover scenario for year 2025 (~28% deforested area - from
Soares-Filho- Amazon Scenarios Project, 2005); 2) scenario for
year 2050; 3) scenario for year 2075; 4) scenario for year 2100
(~67% deforested area) and 5) replace all the Amazonia rainforest
by pasture. In all cases, the deforested areas are replaced by
degraded grass (pasture). We have used CPTEC global atmospheric
model to assess the effects of Amazonian deforestation on the
regional climate. The results shows increase in surface
temperature, a decrease in evapotranspiration and precipitation.
There is also a discussion on changes of precipitation patterns.",
conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u",
conference-year = "24-28 Apr. 2006",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
language = "en",
organisation = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
ibi = "cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.31.16.29.54",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.31.16.29.54",
targetfile = "Projected_Amazonian_Deforestation_Gilvan_2006.pdf",
type = "Impacts of land cover and land use changes",
urlaccessdate = "09 maio 2024"
}