@InProceedings{SeluchiGatr:2002:PrCoSo,
author = "Seluchi, Marcelo Enrique and Gatreaud, Rene D.",
affiliation = "{CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil}",
title = "Previs{\~a}o da convec{\c{c}}{\~a}o sobre o Altiplano Sul
Americano utilizando o modelo regional ETA/CPTEC",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "2002",
pages = "3687--3691",
organization = "Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 12.",
keywords = "previsao, modelo regional ETA.",
abstract = "In this work lhe ability of the Eta/CPTEC regional model to
forecast precipitation over the South Arnerican Plateau (known as
Altiplano) during the surnrner 1999-2000 is analyzed, with
emphasis in its convective and episodic character. To this purpose
the operational model outputs were compared with observed
precipitation in some synoptic stations during the period December
1999 to February 2000. However due to the scarce number of
observations the long-wave outcoming radiation (OLR) fields
constituted the rnain observed variable. The forecasted
precipitation captures the most important features of the spatial
and temporal variability of convection over Altiplano. The
24-hours previsions have a greater accuracy to predict the spatial
distribution, whereas the 48-hours forecasts have a greater
success in reproducing the episodic character ofthe precipitation.
The temporal variability of the mixing ratio at the 550 hPa leveI
over the Altiplano has a very goro coherence with the convection
variability. The success of the Eta/CPTEC to forecast the mixing
ratio on the Altiplano indicates that in general this model is
able to reproduce the humidity transport from the low-levellands
to the central Andes. This fact was confirrned through the
anaIysis of the wind field near the surface during rainy and dry
episodes.",
conference-location = "Foz do Iguacu",
conference-year = "4-9 ago.",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
language = "pt",
organisation = "SBMET",
targetfile = "Seluchi_Previsao da conveccao.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "08 maio 2024"
}