@Article{WeigangSaNordBevi:1996:PrSeSu,
author = "Weigang, Li and Sa, Leonardo Deane de Abreu and Nordemann, Daniel
Jean Roger and Bevilaqua, Rute Maria",
affiliation = "{CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil}",
title = "Predictions of Sea Surface Temperature in Tropical Ocean Using
Neural Networks",
journal = "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society",
year = "1996",
volume = "68",
number = "1",
pages = "23--33",
keywords = "neural networks, prediction, sea surface temperature, time
series.",
abstract = "A review of researches on the relationship between the tropical
ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) and rainfalI anomalies in
Northeast Brazil was introduced. In this work, two neural network
models are implemented to reconstruct and predict the time series
of the SST in two regions: the tropical Atlantic ocean (Wrigbt
index, from 1854 to 1985) and the tropical Pacific ocean (regions
Ninol-2: 0ºN-10ºS, 270ºE- 280ºE and Nino 4: 5°N-5°S, 160ºE-150ºE,
from 1950 to 1995). The selected neural networks include
Backpropagation Neural Network (BNN) and Time Delay Neural Network
(mNN). Both were imple- mented in the neural network stimulator
SNNS. For the Wright index, the trained Backpropagation Neural
Network successfully predicted the index of the following four
months with the relative errors from 1.40 to 3.34%. For SST in
Nino 1-2 and Nino4 regions, the Time Delay Neural Network was used
for reconstruction and prediction. Comparing with the next six
month observations and predictions, alI of them are 10- cated
within the predicted error bars. These results show that neural
network methods may be used, within certain limits, for prediction
and evaluation of predictability of time series measured from
phenomena influenced by complex climatic and geophysical
processes, like SST.",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
issn = "0003-0007",
language = "en",
targetfile = "11058.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "05 maio 2024"
}