@Article{CavalcantiPezMarSamSan:1998:ClPrPr,
               author = "Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque and Pezzi, Luciano 
                         Ponzi and Marengo, Jose Antonio and Sampaio, Gilvan and Sanches, 
                         Marcos Barbosa",
          affiliation = "{CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil}",
                title = "Climate Prediction of precipitation over South America for DJF 
                         1998/99 and MAM 1999",
              journal = "Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin",
                 year = "1998",
               volume = "7",
               number = "4",
                pages = "24--27",
                month = "dec.",
             abstract = "Monthly to seasonal dynamical atmospheric predictions at CPTEC 
                         have been performed since January 1995. The model used for these 
                         predictions is the CPTEC version of the COLA AGCM which was 
                         derived from the NCEP model (Kinter et al., 1988) and includes a 
                         sophisticated biosphere model (Xue et al., 1991). The horizontal 
                         resolution of the AGCM is T62 and there are 28 levels in the 
                         vertical (L28; Cavalcanti et al., 1995). Predictions for the rainy 
                         season of Nordeste (Northeast of Brazil) in 1995 were discussed in 
                         Nobre et al. (1995), and those for 1996, in Nobre and Cavalcanti 
                         (1996). Results from simulations (with a T42 L18) version of the 
                         model of the Nordeste rainy season of 1993 and 1994 using observed 
                         monthly Sea Surface Temperature (SST) as boundary conditions 
                         compared well with observed values of precipitation, and with NCEP 
                         reanalyses data (Cavalcanti et al., 1996). Precipitation anomalies 
                         in Nordeste (area averaged, 20S-120S; 450W-350W) from an 11 year 
                         simulation (1986 to 1996), using the T42L18 model reproduces much 
                         of the interannual variability in this region. (Cavalcanti et al., 
                         1998). The forecast of the February-May 1998 rainy season in 
                         Nordeste was quite good.",
           copyholder = "SID/SCD",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "iracema.htm",
                  url = "http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Dec98/iracema.htm",
        urlaccessdate = "11 maio 2024"
}