@InProceedings{ResendeGiaRodTavCho:2011:OCDOFE,
author = "Resende, Nicole Costa and Giarolla, Ang{\'e}lica and Rodrigues,
Daniela and Tavares, Priscila da Silva and Chou, Sin Chan",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras
(UFLA)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "OCORR{\^E}NCIA DA DOEN{\C{C}}A FERRUGEM-DO-CAF{\'E} (Hemileia
vastatrix) EM ALGUMAS REGI{\~O}ES DE S{\~A}O PAULO, BASEADA NAS
PROJE{\C{C}}{\~O}ES CLIM{\'A}TICAS DO MODELO ETA/CPTEC
(CEN{\'A}RIO A1B-IPCC/SRES)",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "2011",
organization = "Congresso Brasileiro de Agrometeorologia, 17.",
keywords = "ferrugem-do-caf{\'e}, modelo Eta/CPTEC, caf{\'e} ar{\'a}bica,
rust-of-coffee, coffee arabica, Eta / CPTEC.",
abstract = "A ferrugem-do-caf{\'e} (Hemileia vastatrix) {\'e} uma
doen{\c{c}}a que ataca praticamente todas as regi{\~o}es do
Brasil, causando grandes preju{\'{\i}}zos. O objetivo deste
trabalho foi analisar as poss{\'{\i}}veis ocorr{\^e}ncias desta
doen{\c{c}}a, na cultura do caf{\'e} ar{\'a}bica, durante o
clima o presente (1961-1990), e nas proje{\c{c}}{\~o}es
clim{\'a}ticas (2011-2100) geradas pelo modelo regional Eta/CPTEC
(cen{\'a}rio A1B). Selecionaram-se para estudo as cidades de
Campinas, Mococa, Pindorama e Ribeir{\~a}o Preto, localizadas no
estado de S{\~a}o Paulo. S{\'e}ries hist{\'o}ricas de
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o e temperatura m{\'e}dia do ar, cedidas
pelo Instituto Agron{\^o}mico de Campinas (IAC), foram utilizadas
para ajuste do modelo. Consideram-se como condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es
para ocorr{\^e}ncia da doen{\c{c}}a temperatura m{\'e}dias
entre 20°C e 25°C e precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o acima de 30 mm, ambas
em valores di{\'a}rios. Em rela{\c{c}}{\~a}o {\`a}
temperatura, verificou-se nos cen{\'a}rios futuros (2011-2040;
2041-2070; 2071-2100), em m{\'e}dia, uma diminui{\c{c}}{\~a}o
do n{\'u}mero de dias favor{\'a}veis a ocorr{\^e}ncia da
doen{\c{c}}a, devido o aumento de temperatura m{\'e}dia do ar.
Entretanto, observou-se aumento do n{\'u}mero de dias com
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o acima de 30 mm, contribuindo
possivelmente para o aumento da incid{\^e}ncia da
ferrugem-do-caf{\'e}. ABSTRACT: The rust-of-coffee (Hemileia
vastatrix) is a disease that attacks almost all regions of Brazil,
causing major damage. The aim of this study was to analyze the
possible occurrence of this disease in arabica coffee cultivation
during the present climate (1961-1990), and the climate
projections (2011-2100) generated by the model Eta / CPTEC
(scenario A1B). Were selected to study the cities of Campinas,
Mococa Pindorama and Ribeir{\~a}o Preto, located in S{\~a}o
Paulo. Time series of precipitation and average air temperature,
provided by the Agronomic Institute (IAC), was used to fit the
model. Are considered as conditions for disease occurrence
temperature averages between 20 ° and 25 ° C and precipitation
above 30 mm, both in daily values. Concerning temperature, it was
found in the future scenarios (2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100),
on average, a decrease in the number of days favorable for disease
occurrence, given the increase in average air temperature.
However, there was an increase in the number of days with
precipitation above 30 mm, possibly contributing to increased
incidence of rust-of-coffea.",
conference-location = "Guarapari, ES",
conference-year = "2011",
label = "lattes: 1216656435029954 4 ResendeGiaRodTavCho:2011:OCDOFE",
language = "pt",
targetfile = "resende_ocorrencia.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "04 maio 2024"
}