@InProceedings{ResendeGiaRodTavCha:2011:OcDoFe,
               author = "Resende, Nicole and Giarolla, Ang{\'e}lica and Rodrigues, Daniela 
                         and Tavares, Priscila S. and Chan, Chou Sin",
          affiliation = "{Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal de Lavras 
                         (UFLA)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Ocorr{\^e}ncia da doen{\c{c}}a ferrugem-do-caf{\'e} (hemileia 
                         vastatrix) em algumas regi{\~o}es de S{\~a}o Paulo, baseada nas 
                         proje{\c{c}}{\~o}es clim{\'a}ticas do modelo Eta/cptec 
                         (cen{\'a}rio A1B-IPCC/SRES)",
            booktitle = "Anais...",
                 year = "2011",
         organization = "Congresso Brasileiro de Agrometeorologia.",
             keywords = "ferrugem-do-caf{\'e}, modelo Eta/CPTEC, caf{\'e} ar{\'a}bica, 
                         rust-of-coffee, coffee arabica, Eta / CPTEC.",
             abstract = "A ferrugem-do-caf{\'e} (Hemileia vastatrix) {\'e} uma 
                         doen{\c{c}}a que ataca praticamente todas as regi{\~o}es do 
                         Brasil, causando grandes preju{\'{\i}}zos. O objetivo deste 
                         trabalho foi analisar as poss{\'{\i}}veis ocorr{\^e}ncias desta 
                         doen{\c{c}}a, na cultura do caf{\'e} ar{\'a}bica, durante o 
                         clima o presente (1961-1990), e nas proje{\c{c}}{\~o}es 
                         clim{\'a}ticas (2011-2100) geradas pelo modelo regional Eta/CPTEC 
                         (cen{\'a}rio A1B). Selecionaram-se para estudo as cidades de 
                         Campinas, Mococa, Pindorama e Ribeir{\~a}o Preto, localizadas no 
                         estado de S{\~a}o Paulo. S{\'e}ries hist{\'o}ricas de 
                         precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o e temperatura m{\'e}dia do ar, cedidas 
                         pelo Instituto Agron{\^o}mico de Campinas (IAC), foram utilizadas 
                         para ajuste do modelo. Consideram-se como condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es 
                         para ocorr{\^e}ncia da doen{\c{c}}a temperatura m{\'e}dias 
                         entre 20°C e 25°C e precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o acima de 30 mm, ambas 
                         em valores di{\'a}rios. Em rela{\c{c}}{\~a}o {\`a} 
                         temperatura, verificou-se nos cen{\'a}rios futuros (2011-2040; 
                         2041-2070; 2071-2100), em m{\'e}dia, uma diminui{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         do n{\'u}mero de dias favor{\'a}veis a ocorr{\^e}ncia da 
                         doen{\c{c}}a, devido o aumento de temperatura m{\'e}dia do ar. 
                         Entretanto, observou-se aumento do n{\'u}mero de dias com 
                         precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o acima de 30 mm, contribuindo 
                         possivelmente para o aumento da incid{\^e}ncia da 
                         ferrugem-do-caf{\'e}. ABSTRACT: The rust-of-coffee (Hemileia 
                         vastatrix) is a disease that attacks almost all regions of Brazil, 
                         causing major damage. The aim of this study was to analyze the 
                         possible occurrence of this disease in arabica coffee cultivation 
                         during the present climate (1961-1990), and the climate 
                         projections (2011-2100) generated by the model Eta / CPTEC 
                         (scenario A1B). Were selected to study the cities of Campinas, 
                         Mococa Pindorama and Ribeir{\~a}o Preto, located in S{\~a}o 
                         Paulo. Time series of precipitation and average air temperature, 
                         provided by the Agronomic Institute (IAC), was used to fit the 
                         model. Are considered as conditions for disease occurrence 
                         temperature averages between 20 ° and 25 ° C and precipitation 
                         above 30 mm, both in daily values. Concerning temperature, it was 
                         found in the future scenarios (2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100), 
                         on average, a decrease in the number of days favorable for disease 
                         occurrence, given the increase in average air temperature. 
                         However, there was an increase in the number of days with 
                         precipitation above 30 mm, possibly contributing to increased 
                         incidence of rust-of-coffea.",
  conference-location = "Guarapari, ES",
      conference-year = "2011",
                label = "lattes: 0213112231789493 2 ResendeGiaRodTavCha:2011:OcDaDo",
             language = "pt",
           targetfile = "resende_ocorrencia.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "04 maio 2024"
}