@TechReport{ChenFons:1979:CoYiMo,
author = "Chen, Sherry Chou and Fonseca, Lourdes Bernadete da",
title = "Corn yield model for Ribeir{\~a}o Preto, S{\~a}o Paulo State,
Brazil",
institution = "INPE",
year = "1979",
type = "RPQ",
number = "INPE-1488-RPE/034",
address = "Sao Jose dos Campos",
keywords = "DIRA-Ribeir{\~a}o Preto, soil moisture, corn yield model,
stepwise multiple regression.",
abstract = "The weather and technology effects on corn (Zea mays L.) yield in
the district of Ribeir{\~a}o Preto were studied by a correlation
analysis. The most important monthly meteorological factor
affecting corn yield is total evaporation, which has significant
correlation coefficients in five of the six study months. All
meteorological factors used for analysis are significant in
December, indicating that this is the critical month for corn
production. Technology improvement during the period 1957 to 1975
also plays a significant role in corn yield and explains more than
45% of yield variation. The best yield-weather technology (YWT)
model for corn yield prediction employs the summation of relative
humidity from October to March, and technology trend as
independent variables (predictors). The regression equation of the
YWT model, based on the data period of 1957-1975, is relatively
stable and the prediction errors range from 1.97% to 4.32% when
extrapolating to independent test years after 1975. However,
prediction accuracy of the - model for a current crop year may be
improved by including all the available historic data to the
preceding year of forecasting in calculating the regression
coefficients. According to the test results, the predicted yield
for 1979 is 2527.89 kg/ha, if the summation of relative humidity
between October and March is equal to the average of the same term
from 1957 to 1978. Each 1% increase or decrease from the average
will result in a +- 17.18 kg/ha change in yield. The VWT model
gives accurate com yield information and more importantly
pre-dates the available official estimate by at least 3 months.",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
copyholder = "SID/SCD",
label = "165",
language = "en",
pages = "14",
ibi = "6qtX3pFwXQZ3r59YD6/GLFas",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/6qtX3pFwXQZ3r59YD6/GLFas",
urlaccessdate = "08 maio 2024"
}