@InProceedings{SilveiraCostVascMene:2010:CaRCPr,
author = "Silveira, Cleiton D and Costa, A A and Vasconcelos J{\'u}nior, F
D and Menezes, Otac{\'{\i}}lio Leandro",
affiliation = "DEMET, Funda{\c{c}}{\~a}o Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos
H{\'{\i}}dricos, Fortaleza-CE, Brazil and Mestrado em
Ci{\^e}ncias F{\'{\i}}sicas Aplicadas, Universidade Estadual do
Cear{\'a}, Fortaleza, Brazil and Mestrado em Ci{\^e}ncias
F{\'{\i}}sicas Aplicadas, Universidade Estadual do Cear{\'a},
Fortaleza, Brazil and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
(INPE)}",
title = "Can RCMs Properly Represent the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in
the Tropics? Evaluating the Northeast Brazil Case",
booktitle = "Posters",
year = "2010",
organization = "The Meeting of the Americas.",
publisher = "AGU",
keywords = "convective processes, atmospheric sciences.",
abstract = "A number of physical processes act in modulating the occurrence of
deep convection and precipitation over land and over ocean in
tropical regions. Although it is quite obvious that the
differential heating is responsible for establishing direct
thermal circulations, large-scale advection and the internal
evolution and dynamics of cloud systems (which depend on the
microphysics) are also important to the diurnal distribution of
precipitation in a given region. In this work, we analyze the
capability of a regional climate model (Regional Atmospheric
Modeling System, version 6.0, forced by ECHAM 4.5 AMIP runs) in
simulating the diurnal cycle of precipitation over Northeast
Brazil. The model results come from a 46-year, 15-member,
climatological simulate,n performed as part of the upgrade of an
operational dynamical downscaling forecast system at the
Cear{\'a} State Foundation for Meteorology and Water Resources
(FUNCEME). Model grid has 100 x 100 points in the horizontal, for
a grid spacing of 30 km in both directions zonal and meridional,
covering Northeast Brazil and a portion of the intertropical
Atlantic ocean. In order to conduct the verification of model
results, data from FUNCEME's network of surface stations were
used. As the stations produce hourly precipitation data, one
determined the time of maximum precipitation over the state of
Cear{\'a}, in Northeast Brazil. As expected, most of the coastal
stations exhibit maximum precipitation rates in local morning
hours, whereas afternoon precipitation dominated inland.
Mountaneous regions to the northwest and to the south of
Cear{\'a} state have opposite behaviors, the first with the
predominance of afternoon rainfall; the later, with precipitation
occurring mostly during late night and early morning hours. In
contrast with this complex behavior, modeled precipitation shows a
mostly binary signal, with afternoon precipitation dominating over
the entire continent and night to morning rainfall being
restricted to the ocean areas within the model domain. Those
discrepancies suggest that the RCM has serious limitations in
representing the generation of instability and the interaction
between convection and larger-scale advection, even with an
adequate representation of the diurnal cycle of surface heating
and cooling and the simulation of local wind patterns associated
with the sea breeze and topography-forced circulations. With a
resolution on the order of tens of kilometers, precipitation is
mostly simulated via convective parameterizations. Hence, it is
possible that the local removal of instability with rainfall being
produced in a given model column does not correspond to the real
evolving cloud system which are transported by the larger scale
flow at the same time as they pass through growing, mature and
dissipating stages.",
conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u",
conference-year = "08-12 Aug. 2010",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Silveira_can.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "20 maio 2024"
}