@InProceedings{AlvesOrBeJoChKa:2010:EnClMo,
               author = "Alves, Lincoln Muniz and Orsini, Jos{\'e} Antonio Marengo and 
                         Betts, R and Jones, R and Chou, Sin Chan and Kay, G",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and Met Office Hadley 
                         Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom and Met Office Hadley Centre, 
                         Exeter, United Kingdom and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United 
                         Kingdom",
                title = "Large-scale changes in precipitation and temperature in South 
                         America under climate change - ensemble climate model projections 
                         and uncertainties",
            booktitle = "Proceedings...",
                 year = "2010",
         organization = "The Meeting of the Americas.",
            publisher = "AGU",
             keywords = "impacts of global change, regional climate change, climate change 
                         and variability, climatology.",
             abstract = "Despite current state-of-the art global climate model (GCMs) 
                         ability to simulate well the large scale state of the global 
                         climate, there is significant variation in future climate 
                         projections of precipitation and temperature changes in South 
                         America. In order to adequately assess the possible impacts and 
                         national vulnerabilities of climate changes, full consideration of 
                         these variations in projections is of vital importance. As a 
                         starting point for this, here we use a large ensemble of 
                         simulations with the HadCM3 climate model, where each ensemble 
                         member incorporates different but plausible versions of the 
                         parameterisations of important physical processes, is used to 
                         assess the potential impact of climate change on precipitation and 
                         temperature over South America and explore the uncertainties 
                         associated with the various model parameterisations. Particular 
                         attention is paid to the general seasonal characteristics, for 
                         example the South Atlantic Convergence Zone which modulates summer 
                         rainfall over most of the continent. The changes simulated with 
                         the Eta regional model forced with of these GCM ensemble members 
                         are also reported.",
  conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u, BR",
      conference-year = "8-12 aug 2010",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "TH1215_Alves.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "26 abr. 2024"
}