@InProceedings{AlvesOrBeJoChKa:2010:EnClMo,
author = "Alves, Lincoln Muniz and Orsini, Jos{\'e} Antonio Marengo and
Betts, R and Jones, R and Chou, Sin Chan and Kay, G",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and Met Office Hadley
Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom and Met Office Hadley Centre,
Exeter, United Kingdom and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United
Kingdom",
title = "Large-scale changes in precipitation and temperature in South
America under climate change - ensemble climate model projections
and uncertainties",
booktitle = "Proceedings...",
year = "2010",
organization = "The Meeting of the Americas.",
publisher = "AGU",
keywords = "impacts of global change, regional climate change, climate change
and variability, climatology.",
abstract = "Despite current state-of-the art global climate model (GCMs)
ability to simulate well the large scale state of the global
climate, there is significant variation in future climate
projections of precipitation and temperature changes in South
America. In order to adequately assess the possible impacts and
national vulnerabilities of climate changes, full consideration of
these variations in projections is of vital importance. As a
starting point for this, here we use a large ensemble of
simulations with the HadCM3 climate model, where each ensemble
member incorporates different but plausible versions of the
parameterisations of important physical processes, is used to
assess the potential impact of climate change on precipitation and
temperature over South America and explore the uncertainties
associated with the various model parameterisations. Particular
attention is paid to the general seasonal characteristics, for
example the South Atlantic Convergence Zone which modulates summer
rainfall over most of the continent. The changes simulated with
the Eta regional model forced with of these GCM ensemble members
are also reported.",
conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u, BR",
conference-year = "8-12 aug 2010",
language = "en",
targetfile = "TH1215_Alves.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "04 maio 2024"
}