@Article{AragãoPBAMSPG:2014:EnChCa,
author = "Arag{\~a}o, Luiz Eduardo Oliveira e Cruz de and Poulter, Benjamin
and Barlow, Jos B. and Anderson, Liana Oighenstein and Malhi,
Yadvinder and Saatchi, Sassan and Phillips, Oliver L. and Gloor,
Emanuel",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {} and {}
and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Environmental change and the carbon balance of Amazonian forests",
journal = "Biological Reviews",
year = "2014",
volume = "00",
keywords = "carbon emissions, recovery, drought, fire, climate, secondary
forests, deforestation.",
abstract = "Extreme climatic events and land-use change are known to influence
strongly the current carbon cycle of Amazonia, and have the
potential to cause significant global climate impacts. This review
intends to evaluate the effects of both climate and anthropogenic
perturbations on the carbon balance of the Brazilian Amazon and to
understand how they interact with each other. By analysing the
outputs of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC)
Assessment Report 4 (AR4) model ensemble, we demonstrate that
Amazonian temperatures and water stress are both likely to
increase over the 21st Century. Curbing deforestation in the
Brazilian Amazon by 62% in 2010 relative to the 1990s mean
decreased the Brazilian Amazons deforestation contribution to
global land use carbon emissions from 17% in the 1990s and early
2000s to 9% by 2010. Carbon sources in Amazonia are likely to be
dominated by climatic impacts allied with forest fires (48.3%
relative contribution) during extreme droughts. The current net
carbon sink (net biome productivity, NBP) of +0.16 (ranging from
+0.11 to +0.21) PgCyear\−1 in the Brazilian Amazon,
equivalent to 13.3% of global carbon emissions from land-use
change for 2008, can be negated or reversed during drought years
[NBP=\−0.06 (\−0.31 to +0.01) PgCyear\−1].
Therefore, reducing forest fires, in addition to reducing
deforestation, would be an important measure for minimizing future
emissions. Conversely, doubling the current area of secondary
forests and avoiding additional removal of primary forests would
help the Amazonian gross forest sink to offset approximately 42%
of global land-use change emissions. We conclude that a few
strategic environmental policy measures are likely to strengthen
the Amazonian net carbon sink with global implications. Moreover,
these actions could increase the resilience of the net carbon sink
to future increases in drought frequency.",
doi = "10.1111/brv.12088",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/brv.12088",
issn = "1464-7931 and 1469-185X",
label = "self-archiving-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR",
language = "en",
targetfile = "brv12088.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "24 abr. 2024"
}