@Article{SilvaFisc:2014:WRMoAs,
author = "Silva, Adaiana Francisca Gomes da and Fisch, Gilberto",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and Instituto
de Aeron{\'a}utica e Espa{\c{c}}o (IAE), S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos
Campos, SP, Brazil",
title = "WRF model assessment for the wind profile forecast at the
alcantara launching center",
journal = "Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia",
year = "2014",
volume = "29",
number = "2",
pages = "259--270",
month = "jun.",
keywords = "engenharia do vento, radiossondagem, simula{\c{c}}{\~a}o
num{\'e}rica, lan{\c{c}}amento de foguetes, wind engineering,
radiosonde, numerical simulation, rocket launching.",
abstract = "We evaluated the performance of the WRF-ARW model (version 3.2.1)
to predict the winds at the Alcantara Launch Center applying it
operationally on rocket launching occasions. Seasonal analysis of
the model behavior were performed against two radiosonde data
sets, which represent the dry (strong winds) and rainy (weak
winds) seasons. 72 hours forecasts were made from initial
conditions provided by the Global Forecasting System (GFS/NCEP).
Simulations configured for three nested grid domains, maximum 1 km
horizontal resolution and 42 vertical levels were compared with
observations at each 6 hours through the Willmott index of
agreement (d). Initial tests of sensitivity were made for
comparison and adjustment of different physical and dynamic
parameters, like size of domains, number of vertical levels,
spin-up time and Planetary Boundary Layer parameterizations. The
model was able to represent the vertical wind profile, showing no
difference in performance between the dry or rainy seasons and
reaching maximum values of d in the order of 0.90. Overall, the
model overestimated the layer's average wind components (U and V)
up to 3.0 m/s with respect to the observations.",
doi = "10.1590/S0102-77862014000200009",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0102-77862014000200009",
issn = "0102-7786",
label = "scopus 2014-11 DaSilvaFisc:2014:WRMoAs",
language = "pt",
targetfile = "Silva_Avalia{\c{c}}{\~a}o.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "29 mar. 2024"
}