@Article{SánchezSRBSRMMCJ:2015:CoApTo,
               author = "S{\'a}nchez, E. and Solman, S. and Rem{\'e}dio, A. R. C. and 
                         Berbery, H. and Samuelsson, P. and Rocha, R. P. and Mour{\~a}o, 
                         Caroline Est{\'e}phanie Ferraz and Marengo, Jos{\'e} 
                         Ant{\^o}nio and Castro, M. and Jacob, D.",
          affiliation = "{University of Castilla La Mancha} and {Centro de Investigaciones 
                         del Mar y la Atm{\'o}sfera} and {Climate Service Center 2.0} and 
                         {University of Maryland} and {Rossby Centre} and {Universidade de 
                         S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais 
                         (INPE)} and {University of Castilla La Mancha} and {Climate 
                         Service Center 2.0}",
                title = "Regional climate modelling in CLARIS-LPB: a concerted approach 
                         towards twentyfirst century projections of regional temperature 
                         and precipitation over South America",
              journal = "Climate Dynamics",
                 year = "2015",
               volume = "45",
               number = "7/8",
                pages = "2193--2212",
                month = "Oct.",
             keywords = "Climate change, Regional climate modelling, South America.",
             abstract = "The results of an ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) 
                         simulations over South America are presented. This is the first 
                         coordinated exercise of regional climate modelling studies over 
                         the continent, as part of the CLARIS-LPB EU FP7 project. The 
                         results of different future periods, with the main focus on 
                         (20712100) is shown, when forced by several global climate models, 
                         all using the A1B greenhouse gases emissions scenario. The 
                         analysis is focused on the mean climate conditions for both 
                         temperature and precipitation. The common climate change signals 
                         show an overall increase of temperature for all the seasons and 
                         regions, generally larger for the austral winter season. Future 
                         climate shows a precipitation decrease over the tropical region, 
                         and an increase over the subtropical areas. These climate change 
                         signals arise independently of the driving global model and the 
                         RCM. The internal variability of the driving global models 
                         introduces a very small level of uncertainty, compared with that 
                         due to the choice of the driving model and the RCM. Moreover, the 
                         level of uncertainty is larger for longer horizon projections for 
                         both temperature and precipitation. The uncertainty in the 
                         temperature changes is larger for the subtropical than for the 
                         tropical ones. The current analysis allows identification of the 
                         common climate change signals and their associated uncertainties 
                         for several subregions within the South American continent.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2466-0",
                 issn = "0930-7575",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "2015_sanchez.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "25 abr. 2024"
}