@Article{MartinsHochPflu:2017:EmApIn,
               author = "Martins, Minella Alves and Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan and Pflug, 
                         Georg",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and 
                         {International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)} and 
                         {International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)}",
                title = "Vulnerability of agricultural production in the brazilian 
                         semi-arid: an empirical approach including risk",
              journal = "Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management",
                 year = "2017",
               volume = "7",
               number = "1",
                pages = "1--23",
             keywords = "Drought, Maize, Bean, Subsistence agriculture, Rainfed production, 
                         Risk.",
             abstract = "Agricultural production risk is getting increasing attention in 
                         the science and the policy domain due to its strong connection 
                         with food security and its potential to trigger systemic risks. 
                         Particularly in semi-arid regions, weather and environmental 
                         conditions can seriously affect agricultural production. Brazil 
                         stands out exceptionally as it has one of the most populated 
                         semi-arid areas globally. Nevertheless, risk assessment of crop 
                         production for these regions is lacking, but essentially needed 
                         for policy and risk management purposes. To fill part of this gap, 
                         this paper provides first estimates of crop yield risk for the 
                         semi-arid in Brazil on the municipality level from an empirical 
                         perspective. It was found that many highly vulnerable 
                         municipalities are located in states such as Cear{\'a}, 
                         Piau{\'{\i}}, Pernambuco, and Para{\'{\i}}ba. These hotspot 
                         regions may be prioritized in terms of public investments in order 
                         to help them decrease current and future vulnerability related to 
                         crop production. Especially climate change impacts may worsen the 
                         situation considerably in the future and should be included 
                         already in current adaptation strategies.",
                  doi = "10.5595/idrim.2017.0174",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.5595/idrim.2017.0174",
                 issn = "2509-7091",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "martins_vulnerability.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "04 maio 2024"
}