@Article{CapistranoNTSBSMFBKRGVN:2018:OvClCh,
author = "Capistrano, Vinicius Buscioli and Nobre, Paulo and Tedeschi,
Renata Gon{\c{c}}alves and Silva, Josiane and Bottino, Marcus and
Silva J{\'u}nior, Manoel Baptista and Menezes Neto,
Otac{\'{\i}}lio Leandro and Figueroa Rivero, Silvio Nilo and
Bonatti, Jos{\'e} Paulo and Kubota, Paulo Yoshio and Reyes
Fernandez, Julio Pablo and Giarolla, Emanuel and Vial, Jessica and
Nobre, Carlos Afonso",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
(INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
(INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Laboratoire de M{\'e}t{\'e}orologie Dynamique/Centre National
de la Recherche Scientifique (LMD/CNRS)} and {Centro Nacional de
Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)}",
title = "Overview of climate change in the BESM-OA2.5 climate model",
journal = "Geoscientific Model Development Discussions",
year = "2018",
volume = "2018",
month = "Oct.",
abstract = "The main features of climate change patterns, as simulated by the
coupled ocean-atmosphere version 2.5 of the Brazilian Earth System
Model (BESM-OA2.5) are contrasted with those of other 25 CMIP5
models, focusing on temperature, precipitation and atmospheric
circulation. The climate sensitivity to quadrupling atmospheric
CO2 concentration is investigated from two techniques: Gregory et
al. (2004) and Radiative Kernel (Soden and Held, 2006; Soden et
al., 2008) methods. Radiative kernels from both NCAR and GFDL are
used in order to decompose the climate feedback responses of CMIP5
models and BESM-OA2.5 into different processes. Applying the
Gregory method for equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)
estimation, we obtain values ranging from 2.07 to 4.74K for the
CMIP5 models and 2.96K for BESM, which is close to the ensemble
mean value (3.30Ką0.76). The study reveals that BESM has shown
zonally averaged feedbacks estimated from Radiative Kernel within
the ensemble standard deviation of the other CMIP5 models. The
exceptions are found in the high-latitudes of the Northern
Hemisphere, where BESM shows values for lapse-rate and humidity
feedbacks marginally out of the limit between minimum and maximum
of CMIP5 multi-model ensemble, as well as in the Arctic region and
over the ocean near the Antarctic for cloud feedback. Moreover,
BESM shows physically consistent changes in the pattern of
temperature, precipitation and atmospheric circulation.",
doi = "10.5194/gmd-2018-209",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2018-209",
issn = "1991-962X and 1991-9611",
language = "en",
targetfile = "capistrano_overview.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "23 set. 2024"
}