@Article{CaliboniTaIgFaMeUr:2018:HiPaPo,
author = "Caliboni, Adriane and Tambosi, Leandro R. and Igari, Alexandre T.
and Farinaci, Juliana Sampaio and Metzger, Jean Paulo and Uriarte,
Maria",
affiliation = "{Universidade de S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and {Universidade Federal
do ABC (UFABC)} and {Universidade de S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Universidade de S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and {Columbia University}",
title = "The forest transition in S{\~a}o Paulo, Brazil: historical
patterns and potential drivers",
journal = "Ecology and Society",
year = "2018",
volume = "23",
number = "4",
keywords = "agriculture modernization, forest cover change, land-use change,
S{\~a}o Paulo.",
abstract = "Agricultural expansion has caused extensive deforestation
throughout the tropics in the last decades, nevertheless, some
countries have experienced native forest gains. In the 20th
century, the state of S{\~a}o Paulo, Brazil, transitioned from an
agricultural frontier to an agro-industrial state, and in
parallel, from a high deforestation rate to a net gain in native
forest. Here we examine the biophysical and socioeconomic factors
that best explain land use and forest cover change in the state,
at the municipality scale, over four consecutive intervals between
1960 and 2006. We hypothesized that factors that increase the
productivity of agricultural land or reduce pressure on land
development would lead to regeneration. Although results differed
among intervals, our analyses demonstrate that forest gains were
greater in municipalities with high forest cover percentage and
steep slopes, and in areas that employed a large number of workers
and relied on intensive fertilizer inputs. At the same time,
forest loss was higher in municipalities with a large portion of
agricultural land and soils with higher water retention capacity.
These results reveal that land-use expansion led to forest loss in
areas more suitable for agriculture, while forest gains occurred
mainly in less suitable areas. Over time, agricultural expansion
leveled off and agriculture intensification enabled forest gains,
which were most marked in areas with a high percentage of forest
remnants. Ultimately, however, these proximate drivers of forest
change were driven by governmental policies to modernize
agriculture and to protect natural ecosystems.",
doi = "10.5751/ES-10270-230407",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-10270-230407",
issn = "1708-3087",
language = "en",
targetfile = "calaboni_forest.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "26 abr. 2024"
}