@MastersThesis{Lima:2019:CoDeAc,
author = "Lima, Luciana Shigihara",
title = "Conectividade demogr{\'a}fica e aclimata{\c{c}}{\~a}o de peixes
recifais do g{\^e}nero Sparisoma em cen{\'a}rio de
mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas",
school = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
year = "2019",
address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
month = "2019-04-26",
keywords = "Unidades de conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o marinhas, modelo baseado no
indiv{\'{\i}}duo, Atl{\^a}ntico Tropical Sul,
regionaliza{\c{c}}{\~a}o oce{\^a}nica, modelagem
biof{\'{\i}}sica, marine protected areas, individual based
model, Tropical South Atlantic, oceanic downscaling, biophysical
modeling.",
abstract = "As mudan{\c{c}}as na circula{\c{c}}{\~a}o e na temperatura do
oceano afetam diretamente a capacidade de dispers{\~a}o e
assentamento dos organismos marinhos. Esta influ{\^e}ncia se
d{\'a} principalmente nas condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es de
sobreviv{\^e}ncia dos ovos e larvas, assim como na
trajet{\'o}ria imposta pela circula{\c{c}}{\~a}o superficial.
As proje{\c{c}}{\~o}es de cen{\'a}rios futuros de
mudan{\c{c}}as clim{\'a}ticas podem resultar em
altera{\c{c}}{\~o}es na circula{\c{c}}{\~a}o e temperatura dos
oceanos, afetando o ciclo de vida dos organismos marinhos. Assim,
foram utilizadas solu{\c{c}}{\~o}es do modelo do sistema
terrestre Hadley Global Environment Model 2 - Earth System
(HadGEM2-ES) para a modelagem biof{\'{\i}}sica, com o objetivo
de simular as poss{\'{\i}}veis mudan{\c{c}}as nos padr{\~o}es
de conectividade entre nove Unidades de Conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o
Marinhas brasileiras, situadas sobre quatro ilhas oce{\^a}nicas
(Arquip{\'e}lago de S{\~a}o Pedro e S{\~a}o Paulo,
Arquip{\'e}lago de Fernando de Noronha, Arquip{\'e}lago de
Martim Vaz e Trindade e Atol das Rocas) e cinco sobre a Plataforma
Continental Brasileira (Parcel Manuel Lu{\'{\i}}z, Recife de
Corais, Costa de Corais, Abrolhos e Cabo Frio), em um cen{\'a}rio
em que nenhuma a{\c{c}}{\~a}o de mitiga{\c{c}}{\~a}o seja
realizada. Foi realizada a regionaliza{\c{c}}{\~a}o
oce{\^a}nica do modelo global HadGEM2-ES, ensemble r2i1p1,
cen{\'a}rio Hist{\'o}rico e RCP8.5, atrav{\'e}s do Regional
Oceanic Model System (ROMS) para o Oceano Atl{\^a}ntico, cujo
dom{\'{\i}}nio inclui as Unidades de Conseva{\c{c}}{\~a}o
Marinhas (UCMs) nas ilhas oce{\^a}nicas brasileiras e na
plataforma continental do Brasil. Os resultados do RCP 8.5 foram
utilizados para advectar as part{\'{\i}}culas no modelo
biol{\'o}gico de dispers{\~a}o lagrangeana Ichthyop. O
organismo-alvo foi o peixe recifal do g{\^e}nero Sparisoma
(Labridae: Scarinae) presente nessas {\'a}reas. A hip{\'o}tese
de que a aclimata{\c{c}}{\~a}o dos peixes recifais poderia
mitigar os impactos de um cen{\'a}rio mais quente do oceano foi
testada. Observou-se que o cen{\'a}rio futuro de mudan{\c{c}}as
clim{\'a}ticas ir{\'a} aumentar a mortalidade e reduzir a
conectividade entre as Unidades de Conserva{\c{c}}{\~a}o
Marinhas mais ao norte. A aclimata{\c{c}}{\~a}o reduzir{\'a}
significativamente a mortalidade e aumentar{\'a} a conectividade
entre as UCMs, principalmente nos cen{\'a}rios de ver{\~a}o.
ABSTRACT: Changes in ocean circulation and temperature directly
affect the dispersal and settlement capacity of marine organisms.
This influence occurs mainly in the survival conditions of eggs
and larvae, as well as in the trajectory imposed by the
superficial circulation. Projections of future scenarios of
climate change may result in changes in ocean circulation and
temperature, affecting the life cycle of marine organisms. Thus,
solutions of the Hadley Global Environment Model 2 - Earth System
(HadGEM2-ES) model for biophysical modeling were used to simulate
the possible changes in the connectivity patterns between nine
Brazilian Marine Protected Areas, located on four islands
(S{\~a}o Pedro and S{\~a}o Paulo Archipelago, Fernando de
Noronha Archipelago, Martim Vaz and Trindade Archipelago and Rocas
Atol) and five on the Brazilian Continental Shelf (Parcel Manuel
Lu{\'{\i}}z, Recife de Corais, Costa de Corais, Abrolhos and
Cabo Frio), in a scenario in which no mitigation action is
fulfilled. The oceanic regionalization of the global model
HadGEM2-ES, ensemble r2i1p1, Historical scenario and RCP8.5, was
performed through the Regional Oceanic Model System (ROMS) for the
Atlantic Ocean, whose domain includes the Marine Protected Areas
(AMPs) in the oceanic islands Brazil and on the continental shelf
of Brazil. The results of RCP 8.5 were used to advect the
particles in the biological model of Lagrangian Ichthyop
dispersion. The target organism was the reef fish of the genus
Sparisoma (Labridae: Scarinae) present in these areas. The
hypothesis that acclimation of reef fish could mitigate the
impacts of a warmer ocean scenario has been tested. It was noted
that the future scenario of climate change will increase mortality
and reduce connectivity between Marine Protected Areas further
north. Acclimation will significantly reduce mortality and
increase connectivity among AMPs, especially in summer
scenarios.",
committee = "Lorenzzetti, Jo{\~a}o Antonio (presidente) and Gherardi, Douglas
Francisco Marcolino (orientador) and Pezzi, Luciano Ponzi and
Quimbayo, Juan Pablo",
englishtitle = "Demographic connectivity and acclimation of reef fishes from the
gender Sparisoma sp. in climate change scenarios",
language = "pt",
pages = "131",
ibi = "8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3T449EP",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3T449EP",
targetfile = "publicacao.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "25 abr. 2024"
}