@Article{RoyTedeColl:2019:ENTeIn,
               author = "Roy, Indrani and Tedeschi, Renata Gon{\c{c}}alves and Collins, 
                         Matthews",
          affiliation = "{University of Exeter} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {University of Exeter}",
                title = "ENSO teleconnections to the Indian summer monsoon under changing 
                         climate",
              journal = "International Journal of Climatology",
                 year = "2019",
               volume = "39",
               number = "6",
                pages = "3031--3042",
                month = "may",
             keywords = "canonical ENSO, CMIP5, Modoki ENSO, RCP8.5.",
             abstract = "The teleconnection between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) 
                         and Indian summer monsoon rainfall is analysed in CMIP5 
                         simulations in both historical and future scenario. A subset of 
                         models is selected, based on their ability to simulate mean 
                         rainfall and the ENSO teleconnection in the historical 
                         simulations, and those are used to examine future predictions in 
                         the central northeast region of India. For canonical and mixed 
                         canonical Modoki ENSO events, the rainfall teleconnection is 
                         spatially extended over most of India in the future. For pure 
                         Modoki ENSO events, the teleconnection disappears, and practically 
                         no influence is detected in any parts of India. Analysis of zonal 
                         wind at 200 mb indicates that for the Modoki events, there is a 
                         larger spread of changes across the models, while for canonical 
                         events there is more inter-model consistency. A rainfall 
                         decomposition technique reveals a battle between changes in 
                         circulation which act to weaken the rainfall teleconnection and 
                         changes in moisture change which act to strengthen it. The picture 
                         is most consistent in the sub-ensemble of models in the central 
                         northeast region but less consistent in regions covering southern 
                         India.",
                  doi = "10.1002/joc.5999",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.5999",
                 issn = "0899-8418",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "Roy_et_al-2019-International_Journal_of_Climatology.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "19 abr. 2024"
}