@Article{MouraChan:2019:EsCaCo,
author = "Moura, Jos{\'e} Davi Oliveira de and Chan, Chou Sin",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Um estudo de caso da contribui{\c{c}}{\~a}o do transporte de
momentum convectivo na distribui{\c{c}}{\~a}o de chuva",
journal = "Anu{\'a}rio do Instituto de Geoci{\^e}ncias",
year = "2019",
volume = "42",
number = "2",
pages = "208--216",
keywords = "Convec{\c{c}}{\~a}o, Parametriza{\c{c}}{\~a}o C{\'u}mulos,
Modelo Atmosf{\'e}rico, Convection, Cumulus Parameterization,
Atmospheric Model.",
abstract = "O estudo teve por objetivo avaliar o desempenho das
simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o do modelo Eta
utilizando duas vers{\~o}es do esquema de
parametriza{\c{c}}{\~a}o c{\'u}mulos Kain-Fritsch. Os efeitos
do Transporte de Momentum Convectivo (TMC) foram
inclu{\'{\i}}dos em uma das vers{\~o}es. Foram realizadas
compara{\c{c}}{\~o}es entre simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es de chuva do
modelo Eta e dados de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o estimado por
sat{\'e}lite do CMORPH (CPC MORPHing Technique). Um caso de
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o intensa sobre o sudeste do Brasil foi
selecionado para as simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es de chuva do modelo Eta.
A destreza do modelo foi avaliada pelo {\'{\i}}ndice ETS
(Equitable Threat Score) e o BIAS. O ETS mostrou que, tanto para
as simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es de 48 horas quanto para as de 72 horas,
a vers{\~a}o com TMC teve maior pontua{\c{c}}{\~a}o para a
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o leve e moderada. Para
precipita{\c{c}}{\~o}es mais intensas, as vers{\~o}es obtiveram
desempenhos similares. O BIAS mostrou que as
simula{\c{c}}{\~o}es subestimaram a precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o
moderada e intensa. A vers{\~a}o com TMC mostrou menos
subestimativa nas taxas intensas. A inclus{\~a}o do TMC melhorou
o perfil do vento. ABSTRACT: The objective of the study was to
evaluate the performance of the precipitation simulations of the
Eta model using two versions of the Kain-Fritsch cumulus
parameterization scheme. The effects of Convective Momentum
Transport (CMT) were included in one of the versions. Comparison
between Eta model precipitation simulations and the estimated
satellite precipitation data from the CMORPH (CPC MORPHing
Technique) were carried out. A case of intense precipitation over
southeastern Brazil was selected for the Eta models rain
simulations. The skill of the model was evaluated by the ETS
(Equitable Threat Score) and BIAS. The Skill based on the
Equitable Thread Score (ETS) showed that, for both 48-hour and
72-hour simulations, the version with CMT scored higher for light
and moderate precipitation. For intense precipitation, the two
scheme versions scored similarly. The BIAS score showed that the
simulations underestimated the moderate and intense precipitation.
The version with CMT showed less underestimate in the intense
rates. The inclusion of the CMT improved the wind profile.",
doi = "10.11137/2019_2_208_216",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.11137/2019_2_208_216",
issn = "0101-9759",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Moura_estudo.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "03 maio 2024"
}