@InProceedings{CassolDBGMTCNCAGMAA:2019:InCaEm,
author = "Cassol, Henrique Luis Godinho and Domingues, Lucas Gatti and
Basso, Luana Santamaria and Gatti, Luciana Vanni and Marani,
Luciano and Tejada, Graciela and Crispim, St{\'e}phane Palma and
Neves, Raiane Aparecida Lopes and Correia, Caio Silvestre de
Carvalho and Arai, Eg{\'{\i}}dio and Gloor, Manuel and Miller,
John B. and Anderson, Liana O. and Arag{\~a}o, Luiz Eduardo
Oliveira e Cruz de",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
(INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Energ{\'e}ticas (IPEN)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {University of Leeds} and NOAA and
{University of Oxford} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas
Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Increasing of Carbon Emission from Biomass Burning due to the
Temperature Rising and Precipitation Reduction in the Amazon",
booktitle = "Abstracts...",
year = "2019",
organization = "Chapman Conference on Understanding Carbon Climate Feedbacks",
abstract = "Recent droughts have increased the magnitude and frequency of the
forest fires in the Amazon (Arag{\~a}o et al. 2018). As a
consequence, the Amazon has become a Carbon source due to the
rising of the Carbon emission from biomass burned in the El Niño
events. Faced with climate change and the likely acceleration of
temperature in tropical regions, we hypothesize that Amazon will
become a Carbon source even in non-droughts years, due to the
increase of forest fires. Therefore, we compared 7 years of
atmospheric profiles of CO2 obtained from aircraft overfly at four
sites of the Amazon, since 2010, with temperature, precipitation,
and fire counts (FC). Carbon emission from fires was obtained by
the ratio of CO/CO2 and differs by site and year. The FC and
climatic variables were extracted from quarterly influence areas
by site and weighted by the amount of trajectories within a cell
of one degree resolution. The fire emissions released by the
Amazon is about 0.38 ± 0.086 Pg.C.yr-1, which represent roughly
17% of the annual global fires emissions (Werf et al. 2017).
However, there are markedly divergences in the Fire emissions
across Amazon. For instance, the emission from the Eastern is 400%
higher and account of an average 60% more FC than observed in the
Western. FC were positively and significantly correlated with
Carbon from fires at all sites (\ρ = 0.55-0.83, \α =
0.05, p-value<0.001), being higher in the Southeastern of Amazon
(Alta Floresta and Santar{\'e}m sites), and lower in the
Northwest of Amazon (Tef{\'e} site and Rio Branco Sites). This
discrepancy may occur due to the Southeastern of Amazon be located
inside the Arc of deforestation where the dynamic of the Land-Use
Land-Cover Change is more pronounced. We also found a strong
relationship between FC and temperature and precipitation (r² adj
= 0.44-0.67, p-value<0.001). Temperature is positively correlated
with FC and explains circa of 90% of their variability in the
linear model (r² partial = 0.4-0.59, \α = 0.05,
p-value<0.001). It means that an increase of one degree (1°C) in
the Amazon represents an increase of about 13600 fire counts; and
the reduction of 100 mm precipitation means an increase of 315 in
the fire counts. In the balance of the Fire emissions, it would
add 1.27 Pg Pg.C.yr-1 at each degree celsius of increase and 0.2
Pg.C.yr-1 at each 100 mm of precipitation reduction. (p
n:2018/14423-4).",
conference-location = "San Diego, CA",
conference-year = "26-29 ago.",
language = "en",
targetfile = "cassol_increasing2.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "05 maio 2024"
}