@Article{ReyMSMTFRAQ:2020:CaStPr,
author = "Rey, Wilmer and Mart{\'{\i}}nez-Amador, Miranda and Salles,
Paulo and Mendoza, E. Tonatiuh and Trejo-Rangel, Miguel Angel and
Franklin, Gemma L. and Ruiz-Salcines, Pablo and Appendini,
Christian M. and Quintero-Ib{\'a}ņez, Juli{\'a}n",
affiliation = "{Centro de Investigaciones Oceanograficas e Hidrograficas del
Caribe (CIOH)} and {Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico
(UNAM)} and {Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM)} and
{Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidad Nacional
Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM)} and {Universidad Nacional Autonoma de
Mexico (UNAM)} and {Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico
(UNAM)} and {Centro de Investigaciones Oceanograficas e
Hidrograficas del Caribe (CIOH)}",
title = "Assessing different flood risk and damage approaches: a case of
study in progreso, Yucatan, Mexico",
journal = "Journal of Marine Science and Engineering",
year = "2020",
volume = "8",
number = "2",
pages = "e137",
month = "Feb.",
keywords = "flood hazard, flood vulnerability, hydrodynamic modeling,
CENAPRED, Yucatan State.",
abstract = "This study applies three different methods to assess the flood
risk and damage from the strongest high-pressure cold front
(locally known as 'Norte') event in terms of the residual tide
from 30 years (1979-2008) of data for Progreso, Yucatan. The most
important difference between the three methods is the estimation
of flood vulnerability for Progreso. The first method, proposed by
Mexico's National Center for the Prevention of Disasters
(CENAPRED) and used by the Mexican government is based mostly on
economic asset (household goods) values and flood impacts. The
second (CENAPREDv2) and third (FRI) methods are proposals for
assessing risk that include 17 socioeconomic indicators. The
former includes economic asset values, as is the case for
CENAPRED, while the latter does not. The main results of this
study show that the modeled 'Norte' event flooded 25% of
Progreso's city blocks, with an estimated economic flood risk of
\$USD 16,266 (CENAPRED) and \$USD 223,779 (CENAPREDv2), and
flood damage of \$USD 48,848 and \$USD 671,918, respectively.
When calculating flood risk (FRI) and flood damage (FRI_FD)
without monetary terms, the risk categories along the back-barrier
behind Progreso varied spatially from 'very low' to 'high', while
areas along the coastal side presented a 'low' and 'very low'
risk. These categories increased for the flood damage because the
exceedance probability of the flood was not considered as it was
for flood risk in the three methodologies. Therefore, flood damage
provides the losses caused by a given flood event without
considering how probable that loss may be. In conclusion, this
study proposes that the selection of the applied method depends on
the main objectives and specific interests when assessing flood
risk. For instance, if economic damage is the main concern, then
the CENAPRED method should be used as it identifies where the
larger economic impacts could occur; when a socioeconomic approach
is needed then the FRI should be applied, but if both economic
damage and socioeconomic aspects are needed, the CENAPREDv2 is
recommended. Besides considering economic aspects, the FRI method
also includes social variables that can help to map the most
vulnerable population in terms of mobility, education,
communication access and others. Therefore, the proposed FRI
method is very relevant for disaster risk managers and other
stakeholders interested in disaster risk reduction.",
doi = "10.3390/jmse8020137",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jmse8020137",
issn = "2077-1312",
language = "en",
targetfile = "rey_assessing.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "28 abr. 2024"
}