@Article{RegotoDereChouBazz:2021:ObChAi,
author = "Regoto, Pedro and Dereczynski, Claudine and Chou, Sin Chan and
Bazzanela, Anna Carolina",
affiliation = "{Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (URFJ)} and {Universidade
Federal do Rio de Janeiro (URFJ)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal do Rio de
Janeiro (URFJ)}",
title = "Observed changes in air temperature and precipitation extremes
over Brazil",
journal = "International Journal of Climatology",
year = "2021",
volume = "41",
number = "11",
pages = "5125--5142",
month = "Sept.",
keywords = "annual and seasonal trendsclimate changeclimate extremes.",
abstract = "We analyse seasonal and annual trends of extreme indices of air
temperature and precipitation over Brazil during the period
1961-2018. The main goal is to investigate whether the climate is
changing and if so, to explore if there is any marked seasonality
in such changes. The daily observed datasets of maximum and
minimum temperatures, and precipitation, are provided by the
Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology and National Water
Agency. We use the Sen Curvature and Mann-Kendall statistical
tests to compute the magnitudes and to evaluate the statistical
significance of climate extremes trends, respectively. The results
show that the warm extremes frequency of occurrence is increasing
significantly while the opposite occurs for cold extremes, which
reveals a very consistent and widespread warming over Brazil. The
highest increases in warm extremes occur during austral spring and
summer while for the cold extremes the greatest decreases are
observed during austral winter. Unlike temperature, precipitation
extremes show heterogeneous signals for most of the country. In
Northeast Brazil, there are changes towards a drier climate,
especially in summer and autumn. In the Southern region, the
climate is becoming wetter, with a reduction in consecutive dry
days, especially in spring. For the other regions, there is no
strong clear change sign, but both positive and negative
precipitation extreme trends, without statistical significance
(mostly in Southeast Region).",
doi = "10.1002/joc.7119",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7119",
issn = "0899-8418",
language = "en",
targetfile = "regoto_observed_compressed.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}