@Article{CevalhoAnCeOlJiSoKa:2024:FrEvEx,
author = "Cevalho, Wallace and Andreoli, Rita Val{\'e}ria and Cer{\'o}n,
Wilmar L. and Oliveira, Maria Bet{\^a}nia Leal de and Jimenez,
Leonardo Cesar M. and Souza, Rodrigo Augusto Ferreira de and
Kayano, Mary Toshie",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz{\^o}nia (INPA)} and
{Universidade do Estado do Amazonas (UEA)} and {Universidad del
Valle} and {Universidade do Estado do Amazonas (UEA)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amaz{\^o}nia (INPA)} and
{Universidade do Estado do Amazonas (UEA)} and {Instituto Nacional
de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Frequ{\^e}ncia de eventos extremos di{\'a}rios de
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o em Manaus – AM e suas
rela{\c{c}}{\~o}es com o El Niño-Oscila{\c{c}}{\~a}o Sul",
journal = "Revista Brasileira de Geografia F{\'{\i}}sica",
year = "2024",
volume = "17",
number = "1",
pages = "84--99",
month = "Jan.",
keywords = "El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Extreme precipitation event, Trend,
Evento extremo de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o, El
Niño-Oscila{\c{c}}{\~a}o Sul, Tend{\^e}ncia.",
abstract = "This research aimed to analyze the daily extreme precipitation
events (EEDP) that occurred in Manaus, AM, and their relationship
with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENOS) events. Daily accumulated
precipitation data for the 19792019 period were used. The
calculation of quantiles was applied to the data and the EEDP were
defined based on the 90% percentile of the seasonally separated
daily precipitation series. Inter-annual variations and long-term
trends in EEDP occurrence were also evaluated. The Mann-Kendall
test and Sen's Method were used to assess the trend of EEDPs. We
also calculated linear correlations with oceanic and atmospheric
patterns from monthly global tropical Sea Surface Temperature
(SST) anomalies and the vertically integrated moisture flux and
its divergence. The frequency and intensity of EEDP showed similar
behavior to that of total seasonal rainfall, with marked
interannual variability. The highest occurrences and frequency of
EEDPs occurred in March-May. The intensity of EEDPs did not show
much difference between ENOS phases when comparing the
interquartile range. When looking at the median, La Niña (LN)
years modulate the intensity of EEDPs during their developmental,
mature, and final phases. The trend of increasing EEDP occurred in
the DecemberFebruary quarter. It was observed that the North
Tropical Atlantic is one of the main sources of moisture transport
to the region. This study showed that seasonal rainfall
variability and extreme events are associated with global SST
conditions. RESUMO: Esta pesquisa teve como objetivo analisaros
eventos extremos di{\'a}rios de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o (EEDP)
ocorridos em Manaus, AM, e sua rela{\c{c}}{\~a}o com eventos
deEl Niño-Oscila{\c{c}}{\~a}o Sul (ENOS). Foram utilizados dados
di{\'a}rios de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o para oper{\'{\i}}odo de
19792019. O c{\'a}lculo dos quantis foiempregado aos dadose os
EEDP foram definidos com base no percentil de 90% das s{\'e}ries
di{\'a}rias de precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o separadas sazonalmente.
Varia{\c{c}}{\~o}es interanuais e tend{\^e}ncias de longo prazo
na ocorr{\^e}ncia de EEDP tamb{\'e}m foram avaliadas. O teste de
Mann-Kendall e o M{\'e}todo de Sen foram utilizados para avaliara
tend{\^e}ncia dos EEDP. Foram calculadas as
correla{\c{c}}{\~o}es lineares com os padr{\~o}es
oce{\^a}nicos e atmosf{\'e}ricos a partir das anomalias mensais
de Temperatura da Superf{\'{\i}}cie do Mar(TSM)tropical global e
do fluxo de umidadeintegrado verticalmente e de sua
diverg{\^e}ncia.Afrequ{\^e}ncia e intensidade dos EEDP
apresentaram comportamento similar aoda
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}ototal sazonal, com acentuada variabilidade
interanual. Maiores ocorr{\^e}ncias e frequ{\^e}ncia de EEDP
ocorreramem Mar{\c{c}}oMaio. A intensidade dos EEDP n{\~a}o
mostrou grande diferen{\c{c}}a entre as fases do ENOS quando se
compara o intervalo inter-quartil. Quando observamos a mediana, os
anos de La Niña (LN)modulama intensidade dos EEDP durante
suasfasesde desenvolvimento, madura e final. Tend{\^e}ncia de
aumento de EEDP ocorreuno trimestre de DezembroFevereiro. Foi
observado que o Atl{\^a}ntico Tropical Norte {\'e} uma das
principais fontes no transporte de umidade para a regi{\~a}o.
Este estudo mostrou que a variabilidade da
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}osazonal e eventos extremos est{\~a}o
associadas {\`a}s condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es globais de TSM.",
doi = "10.26848/rbgf.v17.1.p84-99",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.26848/rbgf.v17.1.p84-99",
issn = "1984-2295",
language = "pt",
targetfile = "258563_LeituraProva.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "09 maio 2024"
}