@Article{RaoFraEspRamRey:2018:HoAcCo,
author = "Rao, Vadlamudi Brahmananda and Franchito, Sergio Henrique and
Esp{\'{\i}}rito Santo, Clovis Monteiro do and Ramakrishna, S. S.
V. S. and Reyes Fernandez, Julio Pablo",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Andhra University} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "How accurately contemporary models can predict monsoons?",
journal = "American Journal of Climate Change",
year = "2018",
volume = "7",
number = "1",
pages = "97--113",
keywords = "Climate Change, Monsoons, Seasonal Change, Tropical South America
and India Rainfall, Coupled General Circulation Models,
Projections of Future Climate, IPCC Models.",
abstract = "Seasonal changes exhibit climate changes, so models can predict
future climate change accurately only if they can reproduce
seasonal cycle accurately. Further, seasonal changes are much
larger than the changes even in long period of centuries. Thus it
is unwise to ignore large ones compared to small climate change.
In this paper, we determine how accurately a suite of ten coupled
general circulation models reproduce the observed seasonal cycle
in rainfall of the tropics. The seasonal cycles in rainfall of
global tropics are known as monsoons. We found that the models can
reasonably reproduce the seasonal cycle in rainfall, thus are
useful in climate prediction and simulation of global monsoons.",
doi = "10.4236/ajcc.2018.71008",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2018.71008",
issn = "2167-9495 and 2167-9509",
label = "lattes: 0873439630646612 5 RaoFraSanRamFer:2018:HoAcCo",
language = "pt",
targetfile = "rao_how.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "24 abr. 2024"
}